Think of it this way. A two point boost would be at the higher end of the expecations game. It's enough to cut Obama's national lead but he still leads. It's enough to secure Romney in North Carolina and probably enough to flip Florida and possibly Virginia. However the landscape would still favour Obama and would still be less favourable for Romney than it was this time last month at the end of the RNC.
Any bounce has to last. But first we have to see if there is one.
Like Kerry had to do, Romney will have to keep the pressure on Obama and beat him again in the second debate. If he lets Obama back in it, Obama wins because he still have a built in advantage.
