VA: WeAskAmerica: Romney +3

[MorningInAmerica]

http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/05/boing/

Leads Obama 48-45% after trailing 49-46% 2 weeks ago.

[pa2011]

Looks like PPP may be coming to a different conclusion on Virginia. A tweet it sent out last night.

"‏@ppppolls Despite perception that he got creamed in the debate Obama only running about 1 pt worse than he did on the 1st night of our last VA poll."

Regarldess, generally not a fan of one-night poll samples, so think we got to wait till Sunday or Monday to see what effect the debate had on the race.

[tmthforu94]

Database Entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5120121004116

[J. J.]

Regarldess, generally not a fan of one-night poll samples, so think we got to wait till Sunday or Monday to see what effect the debate had on the race.

Possibly the wisest thing you've ever posted. 

WAA is not a top tier pollster, so I'm a bit skeptical, though I think VA is closer.

[ChrisFromNJ]

This is why it was always stupid for Obama voters on this forum to say that Virginia and Ohio were ever "Lean Obama" states. These are swing states. The only reason they wouldn't be swing states was if President Obama ran away with the election. Since the RCP average never went over +4.0 Obama, I don't think you can ever say that President Obama ever was in that position. There has been a lot of irrational exuberance the past few weeks. This is reality. President Obama has a fit on his hands.

[Brittain33]

This is why it was always stupid for Obama voters on this forum to say that Virginia and Ohio were ever "Lean Obama" states. These are swing states. The only reason they wouldn't be swing states was if President Obama ran away with the election. Since the RCP average never went over +4.0 Obama, I don't think you can ever say that President Obama ever was in that position. There has been a lot of irrational exuberance the past few weeks. This is reality. President Obama has a fit on his hands.

"Lean" states certainly are swing states. The "Lean" describes if one candidate has a repeatedly observed advantage in polls at that moment in time. It would be silly to describe a state like Ohio as a toss-up where poll after poll showed Obama up by 4-8 points.