Ogre Mage
YaBB God
Posts: 3,500
Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -5.22
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« on: October 07, 2012, 08:11:25 PM » |
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« edited: October 07, 2012, 08:13:21 PM by Ogre Mage »
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The most likely outcome is Senate Democrats holding at 53 seats or going down to 52. But there is a fair chance they could tick up to 54.
The simplest way I could see this happening is -- Democrats hold all their contested seats except Nebraska but pick up Maine and Mass.
Another possibility -- the Democrats lose Nebraska and North Dakota (or Montana), but pickup Maine, Mass. and Nevada.
If the Democrats lose Nebraska, North Dakota and Montana, then it starts to get pretty difficult. It would require adding either Indiana or Arizona to the list of pickups and that doesn't seem likely.
The fact we can plausibly talk about this outcome is pretty amazing given how bad the senate map looked at the beginning of the year.
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