Racial composition of polls

[Devils30]

I find it a bit odd that many have the electorate at 77% white despite it being 74% in 2008. Yeah, minority turnout may not be as high but that's probably offset by more being eligible.

[Likely Voter]

Every election since the 70s has shown a decrease in the white vote. This year the Romney campaign are working on the assumption that minority vote, especially Hispanics, wont be as enthusiastic and so it will remain constant at 74%.

[AmericanNation]

Everything I've seen, shows 2008 was an outlier.  It isn't possible to have that type of turnout with a failed-unexciting candidate in these economic conditions.  Obama knows this, that's why the campaign has been so extreme in order to turn out the base.     

[opebo]

Everything I've seen, shows 2008 was an outlier.  It isn't possible to have that type of turnout with a failed-unexciting candidate in these economic conditions.  Obama knows this, that's why the campaign has been so extreme in order to turn out the base.     

It is possible that fear of the return of the anti-minority party might motivate some turnout, no?

[AmericanNation]

Everything I've seen, shows 2008 was an outlier.  It isn't possible to have that type of turnout with a failed-unexciting candidate in these economic conditions.  Obama knows this, that's why the campaign has been so extreme in order to turn out the base.     

It is possible that fear of the return of the anti-minority party might motivate some turnout, no?

Ginning up minority racial animosity will pump up the margin (suppress dissenting votes perhaps) more so than motivate the turnout.  Basically, replacing excitement with fear and hate is probably a net loser this year.