WI-07: Duffy in the lead by 11 in internal

[krazen1211]

http://americanactionnetwork.org/sites/default/files/WI_CD_7_Memo_0.pdf

Duffy 51
Kreitlow 40

Romney 49
Obama 46

Thompson 50
Baldwin 43



Great news! Vicious gerrymandering was used to slice out Chippewa Falls from this district to make it more desirable for Mr. Duffy.

[Brittain33]

Thompson 50
Baldwin 43

So, partisan/internal stuff aside, what are the odds that this number is correct but that Baldwin's leading Thompson 50-42 in WI-8, just next door? I was skeptical of Baldwin's numbers in WI-8 but they would be consistent if WI-8 matches statewide PVI and she's leading Thompson significantly.

Actually, do people think this number is plausible? Is Thompson from this district?

[DrScholl]

So, partisan/internal stuff aside, what are the odds that this number is correct but that Baldwin's leading Thompson 50-42 in WI-8, just next door? I was skeptical of Baldwin's numbers in WI-8 but they would be consistent if WI-8 matches statewide PVI and she's leading Thompson significantly.

Actually, do people think this number is plausible? Is Thompson from this district?

Thompson is from WI-3.

[krazen1211]

Thompson was also endorsed by the NRA.

[Nhoj]

http://americanactionnetwork.org/sites/default/files/WI_CD_7_Memo_0.pdf

Duffy 51
Kreitlow 40

Romney 49
Obama 46

Thompson 50
Baldwin 43



Great news! Vicious gerrymandering was used to slice out Chippewa Falls from this district to make it more desirable for Mr. Duffy.

Chippewa Falls was taken out to make it less desirable for Kreitlow, its not really big or democratic enough for duffy to care about it against non Chippewa democrats.

[they don't love you like i love you]

I'm sure Romney isn't leading here but it's tough to gauge by how much he's behind, making it tricky to calculate how skewed the poll is.

And yes in addition to not being very big Chippewa Falls is not very Democratic, hell Chippewa County even voted for Bush in 2004 and Kerry only won the city by about 5 points. Even in 2008 Obama didn't even break 60% in Chippewa Falls and did better than his state numbers by less than 2 points.