Obama has regained most of what he lost in the debate (user search)
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  Obama has regained most of what he lost in the debate (search mode)
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Author Topic: Obama has regained most of what he lost in the debate  (Read 1238 times)
Devils30
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Posts: 4,989
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Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: October 08, 2012, 01:05:32 PM »

We all know it was a terrible debate showing by the President but the jobs report appears to have had a solid countereffect. The evidence suggests Romney peaked on Friday but sharply receded to a point close to the pre-debate numbers afterwards.

Rasmussen: had a 4 point jump for Mitt on friday, today it is tied and tomorrow will likely be friendlier to Obama once Friday's numbers are replaced by todays. Numbers from Iowa and Colorado actually more Obama friendly than two weeks ago. Obama approval also too high to be in the "Romney victory" category.

Gallup: Romney did well Friday but slipped today in the seven day tracker. The three day tracker likely has the same Friday Romney friendly sample. Also, Obama's approval went up sharply today to 51/44, this includes Friday as well.

PPP: They tweeted and pretty much said everything mentioned above. The 3 point Virginia Obama lead with Friday included is ominous for Mitt.

Politico/Battleground: Not sure what days included but their last poll was closer than others. Only about a 1 point Romney gain.

The media has yet to pick up on this but at the moment it is a close race but definitely not a tied race.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2012, 01:12:32 PM »

I wouldn't freak out too much if Romney gains in Ohio. Ohio really isnt the type of state that should be D+2 relative to the whole country and its expected if its at the national average. I think Obama will win Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire by more than he wins Ohio. Possibly even Virginia too. Heck, that's what happened in 2008.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2012, 01:18:37 PM »

I think the format makes it tough for Obama to struggle again. The town hall requires him to walk around so he can't fall asleep!
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2012, 01:25:02 PM »

And yet I'm sure this is Friday heavy as well.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2012, 01:31:31 PM »

Not completely but Obama's approvals sure haven't taken a hit. The jobs report really gives Obama more ammo for the next debate and took away one of Romney's favorite lines. Nate Silver might be proven correct when he said Romney's base strategy had a ceiling around 48.7%.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,989
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2012, 02:03:05 PM »

Most of the approval polls today have him at 50-51
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