Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Political Matrix E: -2.71, S: -5.22
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« on: October 08, 2012, 11:33:36 PM » |
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« edited: October 08, 2012, 11:35:58 PM by Former President Polnut »
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I think a few things this year in particular have been problematic...
* The delay between events and their appearance in the polls... or at least the expectation that polls will be done quickly and we can get an idea of the impact... then the news cycle moves so quickly the polls start to be out of date... which then creates other problems * The apparent discrepancy between national and swing-state polling... (both ways) * Applying differing likely voter screens, applying those screens at disparate times and over different time periods... so it kind of requires people to understand all of those dynamics to make any sense of the polls...
So I think we can see some 'trends' that have gone on this year, but I'll agree that we certainly don't have the clear picture we had in 2008...
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