Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 06, 2019, 01:02:18 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NJ-Philly Inquirer: Obama+11
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NJ-Philly Inquirer: Obama+11  (Read 307 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,948
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 11, 2012, 01:57:24 pm »
« edited: October 12, 2012, 06:34:53 am by Dave Leip »

New Jersey   Philadelphia Inquirer   Obama 51, Romney 40   Obama +11

Link
Logged
J. J.
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 32,909
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2012, 04:31:28 pm »

Not unreasonable, but I'd bet Obama be below double digits.
Logged
HokeyDood
HockeyDude
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,759
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2012, 04:43:13 pm »

Not unreasonable, but I'd bet Obama be below double digits.

Nah... the upper-middle class suburbs were always for Romney and haven't changed.  The lower-middle class suburbs were for Obama four years ago and actually have not moved all that much. 

NJ is interesting in the fact that lower-middle class votes just as much on core economic issues as the upper middle class, just for the opposite side.  It's not like out in the Midwest where the GOP likes to play to social conservatism.  Social issues (with the lone exception of gun control) matter very little in the state, we typically tune it out unless it's extreme.  That's why you've seen so many statewide NJ elections end up 55-44 for the Dems in recent years.  It's simply the Democratic economic plan vs. the Republican economic plan and NJ voters rarely factor in anything else. 

And what do you know...? it would be 55-44 Obama according to this poll. 
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC