Mason Dixon -- Romney burst into 7-point lead in Florida

[pa2011]

Romney 51 Obama 44. Could explain some moving Florida into lean Romney camp now.

Link

[krazen1211]

Great News!

[Lief 🗽]

Sure.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Seven points in Florida is a bit generous to either candidate.

[Minnesota Mike]

Romney leading with Hispanics? Don't think so.

Link

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Yeah, no. Obama never even had a 7 point lead in Florida when he was riding high in September. I doubt a debate shifted the race 8 points in Romney's favor.

[krazen1211]

Romney leading with Hispanics? Don't think so.

Link

Bzzzt. Republicans frequently win Florida Hispanics.

[pa2011]

I got to question the finding in the poll that Romney overcame Obama's once sizable lead with Hispanics in Florida and is now leading with that those voters, even with the Cuban community's traditional GOP leanings.  Sort of doubt it, which could exaggerate Romney's margin statewide

[Brittain33]

Obama is getting exactly his approval rating.

Do people find a 44% approval rating for Obama believable?

[Lief 🗽]

Remember when SUSA said Romney was leading by 10% in North Carolina because he was doing so well with black voters?

[Minnesota Mike]

Romney leading with Hispanics? Don't think so.

http://www.cfnews13.com/content/news/cfnews13/news/article.html/content/news/articles/cfn/2012/10/11/florida_decides_poll.html#results

Bzzzt. Republicans frequently win Florida Hispanics.

Obama won Hispanics by 15 points in 2008, i just don't see a 17 point swing given the fact Dems have been making big gains in Hispanic voter Registration in Floria, old anti Castro Cubans are making up a smaller percentage of the electorate every year and nationally Rommney is getting killed in the polls of Hispanic voters.

[Ljube]

This was expected.

[J. J.]

Mason-Dixon is one of the best pollsters out there.  Possibly an outlier, but I doubt it.

Hispanics are generally Cuban, and Republican.  As noted, Hispanics seemed impressed with Romney's debate performance. 

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Sure. After those other polls just showed Obama winning the state by 4%.

[Minnesota Mike]

Mason-Dixon is one of the best pollsters out there.  Possibly an outlier, but I doubt it.

Hispanics are generally Cuban, and Republican.  As noted, Hispanics seemed impressed with Romney's debate performance. 

Voter Registration numbers of Hispanics in Florida

2008 (General Election Book Close)

Dem 37.9%
Rep 32.9%%
Other 29.3%

2012 (Primary election Book Close)

Dem 38.2%
Rep 29.9%
Other 31.2%

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Yeah, no.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The lead is probably not 7 points... but if you're going to **** on Mason-Dixon then you're being delusional.  They're traditionally very good.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

This Romney bounce is currently reminding me of Cleggmania.

[J. J.]

Mason-Dixon is one of the best pollsters out there.  Possibly an outlier, but I doubt it.

Hispanics are generally Cuban, and Republican.  As noted, Hispanics seemed impressed with Romney's debate performance. 

Voter Registration numbers of Hispanics in Florida

2008 (General Election Book Close)

Dem 37.9%
Rep 32.9%%
Other 29.3%

2012 (Primary election Book Close)

Dem 38.2%
Rep 29.9%
Other 31.2%

Do you have a link?

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

The lead is probably not 7 points... but if you're going to **** on Mason-Dixon then you're being delusional.  They're traditionally very good.

True, and Florida is a notably awful state.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

This Romney bounce is currently reminding me of Cleggmania.

Especially the fact that subsequent media coverage of the debate has been more important than the actual debate.

Though one thing with Cleggmania (how much fun is that going to be to describe to people in the future?) was that there was an established pattern of false Centre surges during election campaigns.

[Minnesota Mike]

Mason-Dixon is one of the best pollsters out there.  Possibly an outlier, but I doubt it.

Hispanics are generally Cuban, and Republican.  As noted, Hispanics seemed impressed with Romney's debate performance. 

Voter Registration numbers of Hispanics in Florida

2008 (General Election Book Close)

Dem 37.9%
Rep 32.9%%
Other 29.3%

2012 (Primary election Book Close)

Dem 38.2%
Rep 29.9%
Other 31.2%

Do you have a link?

http://election.dos.state.fl.us/voter-registration/statistics/elections.shtml

You will have to dig through the different reports yourself but it is all there.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The lead is probably not 7 points... but if you're going to **** on Mason-Dixon then you're being delusional.  They're traditionally very good.

True, and Florida is a notably awful state.

The weather is terrible and it's got nothing on California, I'll give you that much.  

[Eraserhead]

Yeah, no. Obama never even had a 7 point lead in Florida when he was riding high in September. I doubt a debate shifted the race 8 points in Romney's favor.

Actually, there was a Quinnipiac poll that had Obama up by 9% in September.

I didn't really buy that and I don't quite buy this one either. Mason-Dixon has always been friendlier to Romney than most here.

Plus, remember that even John Kerry only lost Florida by 5%.

[Ty440]

Mason Dixon is  one of the best, and Florida has a slight +R PVI lean, so yeah Romney is probably up, not by 7 though.