Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,414
Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35
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« on: October 13, 2012, 11:52:50 AM » |
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The state-by-state margins seem off; Mississippi statistically almost cannot be >60% Romney for the sole reason of the black vote. Alabama being 64% Romney is also highly implausible. In fact, his model seems to be of all states having roughly the same % swing, factoring into my theory that hunches can often be better than statistical models (you know what 14 year-old got only one Senate race wrong when Nate got 3 wrong? This guy!).
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