Is Obama underestimated in Virginia?
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  Is Obama underestimated in Virginia?
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Author Topic: Is Obama underestimated in Virginia?  (Read 392 times)
Devils30
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« on: October 13, 2012, 01:36:20 PM »

With all the Ohio talk, most seem to have given the state of VA to Romney. Rasmussen's poll really doesnt say too much since it generally has a R leaning house effect of 1-3 points. PPP usually does a good job here and Obama has consistently led narrowly. Any polls with him taking 38% of whites and losing should be met with a gain of salt since he won 39% of them and took the state by 6 last time.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2012, 01:39:35 PM »

With all the Ohio talk, most seem to have given the state of VA to Romney. Rasmussen's poll really doesnt say too much since it generally has a R leaning house effect of 1-3 points. PPP usually does a good job here and Obama has consistently led narrowly. Any polls with him taking 38% of whites and losing should be met with a gain of salt since he won 39% of them and took the state by 6 last time.

Right-wingers may be flooding us with polls by entities that consistently use methodology that favors Romney. Most were fecal pollsters earlier and probably still are.   
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milhouse24
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2012, 01:41:39 PM »

With all the Ohio talk, most seem to have given the state of VA to Romney. Rasmussen's poll really doesnt say too much since it generally has a R leaning house effect of 1-3 points. PPP usually does a good job here and Obama has consistently led narrowly. Any polls with him taking 38% of whites and losing should be met with a gain of salt since he won 39% of them and took the state by 6 last time.

Right-wingers may be flooding us with polls by entities that consistently use methodology that favors Romney. Most were fecal pollsters earlier and probably still are.   

Do you mean they were "malarkey pollsters"?
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2012, 01:53:57 PM »

There's a decent shot that Goode could save Obama in the state.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2012, 01:56:47 PM »

Not really considering how much we've been hearing about NOVA.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2012, 02:42:44 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2012, 03:22:10 PM by ModerateCoward »

Yes, Obama will have a better margin in VA than OH, because there are less racist whites in the state that planned to vote for him.
Areas circled in red: where dogwhistle tactics can net a lot of voters.
Areas that are circled in red and slashed through: enclaves of college students or minorities, cannot be swingable by racism.
VA:

OH:

VA only has one moderate suburban area that can be swung by racism, OH has several, and a lot more democratic rural areas that can be swung by racism.
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