Well, we know which poll the Casey folks will be playing up.
"Casey folks" are a thing?
I mean, these numbers, of the two new polls, really do seem more likely, though I think it may fall between these numbers and Muhlenburg's. If Casey does still have anywhere near a 17% grab of the GOP vote, I'm not convinced Tom Smith can really make the jump into being truly competitive. There's still time, though, for Casey to just keep sitting around until he wakes up in November and has no job (which will just start the race for a new job, anyway, I suppose).