PPP Obama up 7 in Pennsylvania

[pa2011]

Obama 51. Romney 44, a 5-point gain for Romney but more realistic than past polls showing a double digit Obama lead in PA.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-and-casey-lead-in-pennsylvania.html

[Eraserhead]

Yeah, their last poll was done in the midst of that big Obama boomlet during the middle of September (which had started to die out to some extent even before the debate). I'm very much satisfied with this.

[Brittain33]

We're seeing where the Romney bounce has been particularly bouncy...

[Cliffy]

So this basically confirms Obama is up 3-4....

[pa2011]

So this basically confirms Obama is up 3-4....

You lose all credibility with posts like this when even Rasmussen last week even had Obama up 5 in Pa.  An Obama lead of somewhere in the 4 to 8 range seems like a good bet at this point.

[pa2011]

Don't forget Obama carried Pa by 10 in 2008, even though Obama under performed compared to past Democratic candidates in western Pennsylvania.  Romney is going to do somewhat better in Philly burbs than McCain did, but not a lot of room for Obama to do much worse in the west considering he did so poorly there 4 years ago.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

This makes sense. Mittens isn't winning PA unless he runs away with the election. I think it will be something like 53-46 or D+7 nationally.

[dirks]

I'd be shocked if Mitt gets within 5 of Obama in PA...that would be a benchmark where it would cause Obama to start throwing more money into a state which was safely his since forever.

[Franzl]

This is perfectly fine for Obama. Consider that (assuming correct numbers) he's only lost 3% on his 2008 numbers.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-14

Summary: D: 51%, R: 44%, I: 0%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[opebo]

This kind of thing probably does a lot to esplain (my eks key isn't working) why those 'swing state polls' and some national tracking polls show Romney ahead, while other polls show it neck-and-neck in Virginia, Colorado, and Iowa, and Obama still ahead in Ohio, Wisconsin - he's lost quite a bit of support in second rank large 'swing states' like PA and MI, but it won't make any difference to the outcome.

[Ljube]

The movement to Romney was expected, but PA is still safe for Obama.

[Kalimantan]

So this basically confirms Obama is up 3-4....

nationally, yeah?

[dspNY]

If Pennsylvania were actually within 3-4 points, Romney wouldn't have pulled out a long time ago. This is probably accurate