OH: Survey USA: Obama +3
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  OH: Survey USA: Obama +3
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Author Topic: OH: Survey USA: Obama +3  (Read 1662 times)
Ty440
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« on: October 17, 2012, 06:57:01 PM »

Ohio continues to be a roadblock in Romney's  quest for 270


 10/12/2012 - 10/15/2012

Obama  45%
Romney 42%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9fe706c7-86ef-4698-b0d3-15ec2d79d203
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 06:57:57 PM »

Pre-2nd Debate peak!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2012, 06:58:35 PM »

Higher undecideds than we've seen for a while...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2012, 07:01:06 PM »

Changes from their last poll two weeks ago:

Obama (nc)
Romney (-2)



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Likely Voter
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2012, 07:15:49 PM »

This also confirms PPP's findings that Obama has run up a big margin with those who have already voted and that the race remains even with those who havent voted yet. Romney needs to beat Obama by a decent margin with those who are still to vote in order to come out on top.
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Mister Twister
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2012, 07:19:11 PM »

Romney has no choice. He needs to bust out the good Reverend Wright if he wants to take this state
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2012, 07:34:27 PM »

Romney has no choice. He needs to bust out the good Reverend Wright if he wants to take this state

That might be the only way.  If Obama has the early voting lead PPP says he has than it's already over.  Where is Romney making up these votes in a 50/50 electorate?

Drive all the racists to the polls might be the only way...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2012, 08:29:15 PM »

Obama's gained two points since last week, nice.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2012, 08:30:10 PM »

Obama's gained two points since last week, nice.

The more time you spend with him...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2012, 08:31:14 PM »

Hahah, it is true that whenever Romney spends a week campaigning in Ohio his numbers seem to decline slightly.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2012, 09:07:35 PM »

Romney has no choice. He needs to bust out the good Reverend Wright if he wants to take this state

Bad idea for Romney.  Attacking Obama on his faith would give PrioritiesUSA all the cover they need to  start cutting attack ads from this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdCEJISKWHc

I don't think the South would be Romney +22 for very long after that.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2012, 09:17:08 PM »

Romney has no choice. He needs to bust out the good Reverend Wright if he wants to take this state

Bad idea for Romney.  Attacking Obama on his faith would give PrioritiesUSA all the cover they need to  start cutting attack ads from this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdCEJISKWHc

I don't think the South would be Romney +22 for very long after that.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=46PXaJxzuDE
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2012, 09:17:58 PM »

The subsamples are promising. Obama leads with Moderates 51-34 and leads heavily 52-37 with those who think jobs are the most important issue, which was 41% of voters. In a state like Ohio, that may in fact prove to be Romney's death number.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2012, 09:25:25 PM »

Romney has no choice. He needs to bust out the good Reverend Wright if he wants to take this state

Bad idea for Romney.  Attacking Obama on his faith would give PrioritiesUSA all the cover they need to  start cutting attack ads from this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdCEJISKWHc

I don't think the South would be Romney +22 for very long after that.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=46PXaJxzuDE

To clarify, I do not believe the Obama or Romney campaign should politicize the other candidate's religion.  America should be free of bigotry based on faith.  However, if one does attack the other, it could definitely turn into a double-edged sword.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2012, 09:34:27 PM »

Solid news.
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Cliffy
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2012, 11:48:13 PM »

That is an incredible media firewall they've erected it's rated at an incredibly durable 45....lol with 9% undecided..... ha, ha, love these polls

71% of independents are worried or concerned or frustrated and angry,  good luck winning that vote.

I didn't even need to look at the sample, it's getting to where they don't matter.

63% of independents most important issues are jobs and balancing budget, uh oh, that's why those focus groups are going romney.

Oh yeah, numbers on Ohio early voting through today are 8.7% still way off from 18%.... so all three of these lib polls were junk.
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html



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Umengus
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2012, 12:37:16 AM »

party id: D +7
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2012, 12:40:41 AM »

With Mitt Romney as GOP nominee, I wouldn't be too precious about party ID in OH
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2012, 02:35:06 AM »

That is an incredible media firewall they've erected it's rated at an incredibly durable 45....lol with 9% undecided..... ha, ha, love these polls

71% of independents are worried or concerned or frustrated and angry,  good luck winning that vote.

I didn't even need to look at the sample, it's getting to where they don't matter.

63% of independents most important issues are jobs and balancing budget, uh oh, that's why those focus groups are going romney.

Oh yeah, numbers on Ohio early voting through today are 8.7% still way off from 18%.... so all three of these lib polls were junk.
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html
So when two different polls have broadly the same findings, this doesn't mean that they more likely to represent the true situation, but it means that both can be dismissed as being liberal? You know, ignoring unpleasant information makes life more comfortable, but it can occasionally backfire - in this case, there's a good chance that this will happen on election day.

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And you accuse others of cherry picking data...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2012, 02:44:06 AM »

Plus there's no doubt a significant chunk of those people telling pollsters they've voted early that have filled out an absentee ballot and either 1) not mailed it yet or 2) mailed it but it hasn't arrived and been processed yet. They wouldn't show up in that 8.7% either.
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Cliffy
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« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2012, 08:36:53 AM »

It's possible they haven't voted yet you're right, alot of ballots are out there and sitting on the counter doesn't count.  So these polls would be incorrect.  Pretty simple.
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