NBC/Marist: Obama with decent leads in Iowa, Wisconsin
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Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Obama with decent leads in Iowa, Wisconsin  (Read 1779 times)
Lief 🗽
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« on: October 18, 2012, 05:31:43 PM »
Obama leads Iowa, 51-43 and Wisconsin, 51-45

No link yet, but it looks like the DEBATE BOUNCE HAS BEGUN
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2012, 05:33:15 PM »
I think they are also polling CO
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Oakvale
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2012, 05:33:46 PM »
THE ANTI-DELUGE.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2012, 05:34:50 PM »
Tammy's also beating Tommy by 49-45
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Yank2133
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2012, 05:35:09 PM »
No change from last month.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2012, 05:35:18 PM »
Great news!
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2012, 05:38:34 PM »
IA sample is D+2

WI sample is D+5

If they are off, Party ID isn't why.
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morgieb
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2012, 05:39:09 PM »
Good stuff.
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TrapperHawk
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2012, 05:41:05 PM »
Sweet. Best news I've heard all day. I assume that the polling is mostly post-debate??
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2012, 05:41:39 PM »
Considering NBC Marist, despite the criticism of others, is one of the few to understand the role of cell phones and how underpolling of cell users skews the results... I'm quite happy about this.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2012, 05:47:54 PM »
New Poll: Wisconsin President by Marist College on 2012-10-18

Summary: D: 51%, R: 45%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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J. J.
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« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2012, 05:48:03 PM »
Quote from: TrapperHawk on October 18, 2012, 05:41:05 PM
Sweet. Best news I've heard all day. I assume that the polling is mostly post-debate??

No, about half and half, and there was no difference.

It is still a uni poll.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2012, 05:48:38 PM »
Once again this confirms that Romney's only route is through OH, there is no getting around with with WI or IA+NV
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Yank2133
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« Reply #13 on: October 18, 2012, 05:48:51 PM »
@mmurraypolitics: In IA, 34% of likely voters in the poll say they have already cast their ballots, and Obama is winning those people, 67%-32%
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TrapperHawk
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2012, 05:50:42 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 18, 2012, 05:48:03 PM
Quote from: TrapperHawk on October 18, 2012, 05:41:05 PM
Sweet. Best news I've heard all day. I assume that the polling is mostly post-debate??

No, about half and half, and there was no difference.

It is still a uni poll.

Ahh, gotcha. Thank you.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2012, 05:51:42 PM »
What splendidly fabu-tastic news!
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J. J.
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2012, 05:53:07 PM »
Quote from: Yank2133 on October 18, 2012, 05:48:51 PM
@mmurraypolitics: In IA, 34% of likely voters in the poll say they have already cast their ballots, and Obama is winning those people, 67%-32%

Looking at early voting results, that is highly doubtful.  
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Ty440
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2012, 05:57:21 PM »
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krazen1211
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2012, 06:06:29 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 18, 2012, 05:53:07 PM
Quote from: Yank2133 on October 18, 2012, 05:48:51 PM
@mmurraypolitics: In IA, 34% of likely voters in the poll say they have already cast their ballots, and Obama is winning those people, 67%-32%

Looking at early voting results, that is highly doubtful.  


Lolz.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2012, 06:32:04 PM »
Marvelous news!
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Holmes
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« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2012, 06:34:43 PM »
I'll take it.
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J. J.
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2012, 06:49:41 PM »
Quote from: krazen1211 on October 18, 2012, 06:06:29 PM
Quote from: J. J. on October 18, 2012, 05:53:07 PM
Quote from: Yank2133 on October 18, 2012, 05:48:51 PM
@mmurraypolitics: In IA, 34% of likely voters in the poll say they have already cast their ballots, and Obama is winning those people, 67%-32%

Looking at early voting results, that is highly doubtful.  


Lolz.

To get that number, roughly 80% of the independents and 100% of the D's would have to be voting for Obama.
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dspNY
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« Reply #22 on: October 18, 2012, 06:54:14 PM »
About the early voting/Election Day voters crowd

I don't think Obama is winning 2:1 in early voting, but I also don't think Romney's winning by 15 points on Election Day

More like Obama's winning by 15 in the early vote right now (33%) and Romney is winning by about 3-4% with traditional Election Day voters
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Ljube
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« Reply #23 on: October 18, 2012, 07:18:49 PM »
The poll is useless as it contains 34% who have already voted and unreal high favorabilities for Obama. Right direction/wrong track question is also way off.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #24 on: October 18, 2012, 08:04:55 PM »
Quote from: dspNY on October 18, 2012, 06:54:14 PM
About the early voting/Election Day voters crowd

I don't think Obama is winning 2:1 in early voting, but I also don't think Romney's winning by 15 points on Election Day

More like Obama's winning by 15 in the early vote right now (33%) and Romney is winning by about 3-4% with traditional Election Day voters

The early voting is 19%, not 33%.
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