OH, Angus-Reid: Tied at 48
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  OH, Angus-Reid: Tied at 48		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: OH, Angus-Reid: Tied at 48  (Read 1520 times)
krazen1211
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« on: October 21, 2012, 05:07:26 PM »
http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/2012.10.21_Ohio.pdf

Romney 48
Obama 48



Good news. Romney is surging.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2012, 05:17:05 PM »
Do we have any previous A-R polls of OH?
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2012, 05:18:45 PM »
Their final poll of the 2010 campaign had Labour on 24%. Lol.
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2012, 05:21:49 PM »
Quote from: Mitt Montgomery Burns on October 21, 2012, 05:18:45 PM
Their final poll of the 2010 campaign had Labour on 24%. Lol.

The US polls were fairly good. 

Tell me, do you think their MI at +9 Obama is wrong?
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2012, 05:25:51 PM »
Romney appears to have a ceiling of 48%. Not even after the first debate did he manage a lead in non right leaning poll and since there his numbers are an average of 48%. Not enough.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2012, 05:29:33 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 21, 2012, 05:21:49 PM
Quote from: Mitt Montgomery Burns on October 21, 2012, 05:18:45 PM
Their final poll of the 2010 campaign had Labour on 24%. Lol.

The US polls were fairly good. 

Tell me, do you think their MI at +9 Obama is wrong?



It's probably closer to Obama +6 or so. But anyway, my previous remark was just a snide one.
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J. J.
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2012, 05:42:08 PM »
Quote from: Mitt Montgomery Burns on October 21, 2012, 05:29:33 PM
Quote from: J. J. on October 21, 2012, 05:21:49 PM
Quote from: Mitt Montgomery Burns on October 21, 2012, 05:18:45 PM
Their final poll of the 2010 campaign had Labour on 24%. Lol.

The US polls were fairly good. 

Tell me, do you think their MI at +9 Obama is wrong?



It's probably closer to Obama +6 or so. But anyway, my previous remark was just a snide one.

From what I've seen A-R is a reasonable pollster.  I know it is fashionable here to attack the pollsters when you don't like the result, and some polls deserve to be attacked, but let's be reasonable about this.  Smiley
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2012, 06:35:01 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 21, 2012, 05:42:08 PM
Quote from: Mitt Montgomery Burns on October 21, 2012, 05:29:33 PM
Quote from: J. J. on October 21, 2012, 05:21:49 PM
Quote from: Mitt Montgomery Burns on October 21, 2012, 05:18:45 PM
Their final poll of the 2010 campaign had Labour on 24%. Lol.

The US polls were fairly good. 

Tell me, do you think their MI at +9 Obama is wrong?



It's probably closer to Obama +6 or so. But anyway, my previous remark was just a snide one.

From what I've seen A-R is a reasonable pollster.  I know it is fashionable here to attack the pollsters when you don't like the result, and some polls deserve to be attacked, but let's be reasonable about this.  Smiley

I will.  It is reasonable.  But the Atlas has no data for this pollster in Ohio.  So we'll see. 

Must I reiterate every time that these pollsters have to say whether they include early voters or not, though?  It's very significant in Ohio. 
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J. J.
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2012, 06:44:13 PM »
Could someone enter this?
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2012, 06:45:42 PM »
Applying new rule:

My numbers:
Obama: 54%
Romney: 44%

Safe Obama.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2012, 09:41:42 AM »
Could someone please add this poll. 
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2012, 11:59:55 AM »
New Poll: Ohio President by Angus Reid on 2012-10-21

Summary: D: 48%, R: 48%, I: 4%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Devils30
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2012, 01:23:52 PM »
Have no clue about this firm but Pennsylvania and Ohio usually have a 4-7 point separation in their respective results (PA always being more Dem). 10 seems way too high.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2012, 02:03:06 PM »
I only trust the University of Cincinnati when it comes to accurate OH polls.

We have to wait for their final poll to see if Romney is making inroads there or not.
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J. J.
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2012, 02:05:02 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 22, 2012, 02:03:06 PM
I only trust the University of Cincinnati when it comes to accurate OH polls.

We have to wait for their final poll to see if Romney is making inroads there or not.

They might become our Quinnipiac/F & M of Ohio, if they get it right. 
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pepper11
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2012, 06:49:27 PM »
Nice.
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