VA, UVA: Romney in the lead

[krazen1211]

http://www.politico.com/politico44/2012/10/uvagmu-poll-romney-edges-obama-in-virginia-147104.html


Romney 46
Obama 45


Great news! Especially as this is among registered voters.

[Eraserhead]

What is this, like the third garbage poll from VA in a row?

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

In his desperation, krazen is latching onto Uni polls within the margin of error.

[Yank2133]

How is this good news?

It basically a statistical tie.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

I noticed RCP found a way to not include it in their average, by saying its too old.

[Devils30]

No track record so it's tough to tell but it  confirms that VA is still a tossup.

[J. J.]

Good, but still a Uni poll. 

[Lief 🗽]

uni poll, trash it

[Landslide Lyndon]

Krazey is getting pretty desperate.

[BM]

Being up by only 1 in a Confederate state isn't anything to be happy about anyway. If he's barely holding on to Virginia, Ohio is out of reach as we all know.

[Speed of Sound]

Don't trust the source, but the result looks about right.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Romney isnt gonna win. he can't win. Obama will slowly build up his lead and is Approval is on the rise as well. next week these polls will be O +7.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Romney isnt gonna win. he can't win. Obama will slowly build up his lead and is Approval is on the rise as well. next week these polls will be O +7.

Yeah, no

[Joe Biden 2020]

Romney isnt gonna win. he can't win. Obama will slowly build up his lead and is Approval is on the rise as well. next week these polls will be O +7.

Yeah, no

Yeah, That's being a little too optimistic.  It's close to a fantasy than any optimism.

[Seriously?]

Romney isnt gonna win. he can't win. Obama will slowly build up his lead and is Approval is on the rise as well. next week these polls will be O +7.

Except that the Democrats' early-vote share in Virginia is well off of the '08 pace in pro-Obama areas according to Cook as compared to those areas which were McCain strongholds.

But you're right. Obama is cruising to victory in Virginia otherwise...

[J. J.]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

Then why isn't this one in the data?

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

Then why isn't this one in the data?

[J. J.]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

Then why isn't this one in the data?

Ah, the month long Old Dominion one is in the data base; this one isn't. 

[cinyc]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

Then why isn't this one in the data?

Ah, the month long Old Dominion one is in the data base; this one isn't. 

Many polls that have threads aren't in the database.  It's not as exhaustive as it should be.

[J. J.]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

Then why isn't this one in the data?

Ah, the month long Old Dominion one is in the data base; this one isn't. 

Many polls that have threads aren't in the database.  It's not as exhaustive as it should be.

One that is has a sample period running from 9/19 to 10/17, also a uni poll, from the same state. 

[cinyc]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

Then why isn't this one in the data?

Ah, the month long Old Dominion one is in the data base; this one isn't. 

Many polls that have threads aren't in the database.  It's not as exhaustive as it should be.

One that is has a sample period running from 9/19 to 10/17, also a uni poll, from the same state. 

Well, most of the posters inputting polls have red avatars.  Thus, it's no surprise that some of the Romney-leaning polls have fallen through the cracks.  The decision to castigate all polls by pollsters that Democrats don't like, like Gravis Marketing, is extremely perplexing.  But I'm not willing to sign up for an ID to input polls, so I really have no business complaining.

[J. J.]

If that's accurate, then so is this.

Then why isn't this one in the data?

Ah, the month long Old Dominion one is in the data base; this one isn't. 

Many polls that have threads aren't in the database.  It's not as exhaustive as it should be.

One that is has a sample period running from 9/19 to 10/17, also a uni poll, from the same state. 

Well, most of the posters inputting polls have red avatars.  Thus, it's no surprise that some of the Romney-leaning polls have fallen through the cracks.  The decision to castigate all polls by pollsters that Democrats don't like, like Gravis Marketing, is extremely perplexing.  But I'm not willing to sign up for an ID to input polls, so I really have no business complaining.

I can very easily see excluding Gravis, and I agree with excluding it.

The Old Dominion poll has some major problems and really shouldn't be in the database.  This one, aside from being a Uni poll, has no problems on this level.  It suffers from the same defects that all Uni polls have, but many others are included. 

[Lief 🗽]

Is there a release for this poll? The Politico article says the numbers are Romney 46, Obama 45, 2 undecided and 2 other... which only adds up to 95%. Also Dave Leip usually wants the poll question entered into the database as well.

The poll is also not entered in 538, Pollster.com, or RCP so don't act like it's some conspiracy.

[J. J.]

Is there a release for this poll? The Politico article says the numbers are Romney 46, Obama 45, 2 undecided and 2 other... which only adds up to 95%. Also Dave Leip usually wants the poll question entered into the database as well.

The poll is also not entered in 538, Pollster.com, or RCP so don't act like it's some conspiracy.

This is all that I could find:  http://www.cavalierdaily.com/blog/hoos4news/2012/10/romney-obama-effectively-tied

It is not a great poll, and has two week survey period, but it is a lot better as a poll than OD one.