NY: Marist College: Obama breaking 60%, on course to replicate his 2008 margin of victory (user search)
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  NY: Marist College: Obama breaking 60%, on course to replicate his 2008 margin of victory (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY: Marist College: Obama breaking 60%, on course to replicate his 2008 margin of victory  (Read 800 times)
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« on: October 24, 2012, 09:07:15 PM »

NY will be Obama's best state behind Hawaii and Vermont.  The Wall St. types that like him don't even live in the city, they live in CT (there ya go Eraserhead), and I'm willing to bet Romney is extremely unpopular amongst actual NYC residents.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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Posts: 11,376
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2012, 10:22:33 PM »

It's weird that the movement towards Romney in the swing states (compared to 2008) isn't reflected in the solidly blue states. There is definitely nothing close to a uniform swing going on this cycle.

Remember.. NH, WI, IA, CO and arguably VA were solidly blue back in 2008, and the closeness of the election is most definitely reflected there.  If you are talking about the states where Obama won by 15-20 pts... possibly, because unlike 2000 and 2004 with Bush, Romney isn't even bothering with the core Democratic states (those that went for Gore AND Kerry), minus Wisconsin.  Romney's campaign is very nuanced and focused on the battlegrounds.  Even so, it's hard to find a state that's actually going to swing towards Obama.  MAYBE Arizona and Alaska... possibly Ohio.  
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