Big Population States Predictions Top 7 California, Fla, Texas, NY, PA, Ill, OH

[ucscgaldamez]

Make your predictions for the following states:

California
Florida
Texas
New York
Pennsylvania
Illinois
Ohio

My predictions:
California Obama 57%, Romney 42%
Florida Romney 52% Obama 48%
Texas Romney 58% Obama 41%
New York Obama 60%, Romney 39%
Pennsylvania Obama 52% Romney 47%
Illinois Obama 56%, Romney 43%
Ohio Romney 50% Obama 49%

By the way, I am predicting Romney wins popular vote 50-49%.

[Lief 🗽]

California: Obama 58, Romney 38
Florida: Obama 49.7 Romney 49.5
Texas: Romney 56 Obama 42
New York: Obama 61 Romney 37
Pennsylvania: Obama 53 Romney 45
Illinois: Obama 57 Romney 41
Ohio: Obama 51 Romney 47

[Joe Biden 2020]

California - Obama 58, Romney 41
Texas - Romney 56, Obama 42
New York - Obama 61, Romney 38
Florida - Romney 50, Obama 48
Illinois - Obama 59, Romney 40
Pennsylvania - Obama 51, Romney 49
Ohio - Obama 48.7, Romney 48.5

[old timey villain]

California 57% Obama 40% Romney
Texas 57% Romney 42% Obama
New York 60% Obama 38% Romney
Florida 50% Romney 48% Obama
Illinois 59% Obama 39% Romney
Pennsylvania 52% Obama 47% Romney
Ohio 51% Obama 48% Romney
Michigan 52% Obama 47% Romney
Georgia 54% Romney 45% Obama
North Carolina 52% Romney 47% Obama

Top 10

[tallguy23]

California: Obama 58, Romney 38
Florida: Romney 49.7 Obama 49.5
Texas: Romney 55 Obama 43
New York: Obama 60 Romney 38
Pennsylvania: Obama 52 Romney 46
Illinois: Obama 58 Romney 38
Ohio: Obama 50 Romney 49

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

California
Obama - 58%
Romney - 40%

Texas
Romney - 57%
Obama - 42%

New York
Obama - 61%
Romney 37%

Florida
Obama - 49%
Romney 49%

Pennsylvania
Obama - 53%
Romney - 46%

Illinois
Obama - 58%
Romney - 41%

Ohio
Obama - 51%
Romney - 47%

[BaldEagle1991]

California: 59% Obama/42% Romney
Texas: 57% Romney/41% Obama
New York: 62% Obama/36% Romney
Pennsylvania: 53% Obama/46% Romney
Illinois: Obama 60%/39% Romney
Ohio: Obama 51%/49% Romney

I also would like to give out that the DC will by 90% Obama/10% Romney and Utah will be 72% Romney/27% Obama, and that San Francisco County, CA will be 79% Obama/19% Romney and that Oklahoma County, OK will be 58% Romney/42% Obama.

[ucscgaldamez]

I would like to see Republican's predictions.

[BaldEagle1991]

I would like to see Republican's predictions.

A lot of them have Ohio 53% for Romney and Texas 60%+

[Mr.Phips]

LOL at Obama winning Florida.  Obama has about has much chance of winning Florida as Romney does Pennsylvania.  Incumbent President's dont win in states where they trail in the average of polls.

California:  60% Obama, 39% Romney
Texas:  56% Romney, 43% Obama
New York:  62% Obama, 37% Romney
Pennsylvania:  52% Obama, 47% Romney
Illinois:  58% Obama, 41% Romney
Ohio:  50% Romney, 50% Obama
Florida: 51% Romney, 48% Obama

[Miles]

California: 58-39 Obama
Florida: 50-48 Romney
Texas: 57-42 Romney
New York: 61-38 Obama
Pennsylvania: 52-46 Obama
Illinois: 59-40 Obama
Ohio: 50-48 Obama

[GMantis]

LOL at Obama winning Florida.  Obama has about has much chance of winning Florida as Romney does Pennsylvania.  Incumbent President's dont win in states where they trail in the average of polls.

Nonsense. A better comparison would be with Ohio, but even that is less likely to be won by Romney than Obama's chance to win Florida. And did you just invent that rule?

[opebo]

California:  60% Obama, 38% Romney
Texas:  56% Romney, 43% Obama
New York:  62% Obama, 37% Romney
Pennsylvania:  52% Obama, 47% Romney
Illinois:  60% Obama, 38% Romney
Ohio:  50% Obama, 49% Romney
Florida: 50% Obama, 49% Romney

[Mr.Phips]

LOL at Obama winning Florida.  Obama has about has much chance of winning Florida as Romney does Pennsylvania.  Incumbent President's dont win in states where they trail in the average of polls.

Nonsense. A better comparison would be with Ohio, but even that is less likely to be won by Romney than Obama's chance to win Florida. And did you just invent that rule?

I would say Obama only has a slightly better chance of winning Florida than Romney does of winning Ohio.  And that rule has been effect for almost every election.  Bush didnt win a single state in 2004 where he didnt have a lead in the average of final polls.  Even in Wisconsin, where he was up .9%, he lost.

In 1996, Clinton didnt win any state where he led in the final average of polls and lost Georgia, Montana, North Carolina, and Colorado, where he had a lead in the final average. 

[Vern]

California: 57-41 Obama
Florida: 50-47 Romney
Texas: 59-39 Romney
New York: 60-38 Obama
Pennsylvania: 52-47 Obama
Illinois: 56-43 Obama
Ohio: 49-49 no one wins lol, Obama

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

California Obama 57%, Romney 41%
Florida Romney 50% Obama 49%
Texas Romney 57% Obama 41%
New York Obama 60%, Romney 39%
Pennsylvania Obama 52% Romney 47%
Illinois Obama 58%, Romney 41%
Ohio Romney 50% Obama 48%

[Sbane]

California will trend Republican folks, even if it is a slight trend. The ones showing Obama getting 60% of the vote in California while struggling nationwide are wrong.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

California - Romney 52-48

[NHI]

Ohio:

Romney: 50%

Obama: 49%

California:

Obama: 58%

Romney: 40%

Texas:

Romney: 57%

Obama: 41%

New York:

Obama: 59%

Romney: 39%

Pennsylvania:

Obama: 52%

Romney: 46%

Florida:

Romney: 51%

Obama: 47%

Illinois:

Obama: 60%

Romney: 39%