PPP NV: Obama +4
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Author Topic: PPP NV: Obama +4  (Read 1254 times)
Yank2133
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« on: October 24, 2012, 03:17:26 PM »

No details yet.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2012, 03:17:50 PM »

Game over.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2012, 03:23:28 PM »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2012, 03:32:07 PM »

And the Senate race is tied!!! Fantastic news!
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2012, 03:32:57 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2012, 03:43:42 PM by AWallTEP81 »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41

Romney should* concede (edited from "has") Nevada.  It's time to look elsewhere.  Obama now has his insurance against a Romney pickup in NH.  
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Ty440
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2012, 03:34:40 PM »

Obama's best polling day in forever.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2012, 03:35:30 PM »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41

Romney has conceded Nevada.  It's time to look elsewhere.  Obama now has his insurance against a Romney pickup in NH.  

Actually, he hasn't yet. He's been campaigning there the last couple of days I believe. Waste of time, if you ask me.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2012, 03:37:48 PM »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41

Romney has conceded Nevada.  It's time to look elsewhere.  Obama now has his insurance against a Romney pickup in NH.  

Actually, he hasn't yet. He's been campaigning there the last couple of days I believe. Waste of time, if you ask me.

Yeah,  if anything it means he is not to confident about his chances in Ohio.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2012, 03:38:35 PM »
« Edited: October 24, 2012, 03:55:37 PM by Gravis Marketing »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41

Romney has conceded Nevada.  It's time to look elsewhere.  Obama now has his insurance against a Romney pickup in NH.  

Actually, he hasn't yet. He's been campaigning there the last couple of days I believe. Waste of time, if you ask me.

What Romney is doing in Nevada:


(an image of dice that didn't come out. Drat.)

He has to find alternatives to Ohio and Wisconsin, because it just doesn't look good there, so he has no choice but to try to rouse crowds in Nevada. It won't work but he has to try.
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Ty440
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2012, 03:40:40 PM »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41

Romney has conceded Nevada.  It's time to look elsewhere.  Obama now has his insurance against a Romney pickup in NH.  

Actually, he hasn't yet. He's been campaigning there the last couple of days I believe. Waste of time, if you ask me.

What Romney is doing in Nevada:



He has to find alternatives to Ohio and Wisconsin, because it just doesn't look good there, so he has no choice but to try to rouse crowds in Nevada. It won't work but he has to try.

Obama pulling +75% the Hispanic vote in NV. I don't think so.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2012, 03:41:44 PM »

Romney is actually the opposite of conceding Nevada. He was in the Las Vegas suburbs yesterday and is in Reno today. His Super PACs are also increasing spending there.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2012, 03:44:18 PM »

Romney is actually the opposite of conceding Nevada. He was in the Las Vegas suburbs yesterday and is in Reno today. His Super PACs are also increasing spending there.

Excuse me, fixed.  My bad. 
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old timey villain
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2012, 03:46:21 PM »

Romney is actually the opposite of conceding Nevada. He was in the Las Vegas suburbs yesterday and is in Reno today. His Super PACs are also increasing spending there.

Well yeah, Romney can't concede it because he absolutely has to have it to win if he can't get Ohio. McCain/Palin visited Pennsylvania until the bitter end. Doesn't mean Romney will win it.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2012, 03:47:38 PM »



273-265, Romney

not a terrible strategy to see what he can do in Nevada.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2012, 03:58:47 PM »

At this point Romney only wins if a) something unexpected happens to shake up the race or b) the polls are all really wrong. He doesn't have a path to victory with the current map. So at this point his campaign has to involve magical thinking, which means that a trip to Nevada will somehow change the dynamic. What else can he do?
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2012, 04:03:45 PM »

At this point Romney only wins if a) something unexpected happens to shake up the race or b) the polls are all really wrong. He doesn't have a path to victory with the current map. So at this point his campaign has to involve magical thinking, which means that a trip to Nevada will somehow change the dynamic. What else can he do?

Let's not get ahead of ourselves... it's not like Romney is pulling out of Ohio, he's hitting Canton with Ryan in a few days, I believe. 

I think he might be just feeling the air out there.  I would agree though, that Romney does realize that it's very likely he might have to pull this off without Ohio. 
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Ty440
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2012, 04:04:24 PM »

At this point Romney only wins if a) something unexpected happens to shake up the race or b) the polls are all really wrong. He doesn't have a path to victory with the current map. So at this point his campaign has to involve magical thinking, which means that a trip to Nevada will somehow change the dynamic. What else can he do?

Change his name to Mitt Rodriquez.


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Devils30
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2012, 04:15:20 PM »

PPP had 51-47 as its final NV poll and Obama won by 12. Obviously it will be closer this time around but I expect a 53-46 Obama victory and wouldn't be shocked if he took the state by 9.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2012, 04:19:09 PM »

PPP had 51-47 as its final NV poll and Obama won by 12. Obviously it will be closer this time around but I expect a 53-46 Obama victory and wouldn't be shocked if he took the state by 9.

You are correct, sir.  54-45.

75% of Hispanics going for Obama.  This is fatal for Romney. 
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2012, 04:22:11 PM »

At this point Romney only wins if a) something unexpected happens to shake up the race or b) the polls are all really wrong. He doesn't have a path to victory with the current map. So at this point his campaign has to involve magical thinking, which means that a trip to Nevada will somehow change the dynamic. What else can he do?

What can he do?  Win Ohio.  Obama is below 50% in almost every poll there and most polls there are oversampling Democrats.  The state is not going to be D+10 when it was only D+5 in the perfect storm year of 2012. 
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2012, 04:26:17 PM »

At this point Romney only wins if a) something unexpected happens to shake up the race or b) the polls are all really wrong. He doesn't have a path to victory with the current map. So at this point his campaign has to involve magical thinking, which means that a trip to Nevada will somehow change the dynamic. What else can he do?

What can he do?  Win Ohio.  Obama is below 50% in almost every poll there and most polls there are oversampling Democrats.  The state is not going to be D+10 when it was only D+5 in the perfect storm year of 2012. 

JESUS CHRIST, ENOUGH!

Can we ban people who go on about Party ID please?  PLEASE?!

I'm not going into it because those of us who understand this feature of polls have had to explain this over, and over, and over, and over...

This is more tired a subject than Ben Romney and "his numbers"
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2012, 04:32:32 PM »

We got this. My home state is going for Obama.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2012, 04:35:05 PM »

At this point Romney only wins if a) something unexpected happens to shake up the race or b) the polls are all really wrong. He doesn't have a path to victory with the current map. So at this point his campaign has to involve magical thinking, which means that a trip to Nevada will somehow change the dynamic. What else can he do?

What can he do?  Win Ohio.  Obama is below 50% in almost every poll there and most polls there are oversampling Democrats.  The state is not going to be D+10 when it was only D+5 in the perfect storm year of 2012. 

JESUS CHRIST, ENOUGH!

Can we ban people who go on about Party ID please?  PLEASE?!

I'm not going into it because those of us who understand this feature of polls have had to explain this over, and over, and over, and over...

This is more tired a subject than Ben Romney and "his numbers"

Phips is a dumb who's basically the vintage version of Ben Romney, just ignore him. He's even gone so far off the deep end that he became a jobs truther last month.
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GMantis
Dessie Potter
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« Reply #23 on: October 25, 2012, 01:58:00 AM »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41

Romney has conceded Nevada.  It's time to look elsewhere.  Obama now has his insurance against a Romney pickup in NH.  

Actually, he hasn't yet. He's been campaigning there the last couple of days I believe. Waste of time, if you ask me.

What Romney is doing in Nevada:



He has to find alternatives to Ohio and Wisconsin, because it just doesn't look good there, so he has no choice but to try to rouse crowds in Nevada. It won't work but he has to try.

Obama pulling +75% the Hispanic vote in NV. I don't think so.
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/polls/#val=NVP00p1
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Miles
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« Reply #24 on: October 25, 2012, 02:00:07 AM »

I really do think that out of the smaller swing states (NV, NH, IA, CO) this could well be the one that Obama carries in a close race.
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