NV-03, LVRJ: Heck in the lead

[krazen1211]

http://www.lvrj.com/news/poll-heck-has-enough-support-to-win-re-election-175750751.html


Heck 50
Oceguera 40



Good news.

[krazen1211]

krazen, keeping hackishness to a minimum, do you have any idea what seems to be wrong with some of these Nevada Democratic House candidates? I'm genuinely curious.

Horsford seems to be a bit lazy, not unlike Bob Casey and Jeff Flake.

Oceguera should not have had a serious shot in the first place. The default winner for an EVEN PVI white suburban district is the Republican more often than not. When this district was first drawn to be a 'fair fight split by registration' district Jon Porter won it by 19 points. Now its a 'fair fight split by registration' district again.

[krazen1211]

krazen, keeping hackishness to a minimum, do you have any idea what seems to be wrong with some of these Nevada Democratic House candidates? I'm genuinely curious.

Horsford seems to be a bit lazy, not unlike Bob Casey and Jeff Flake.

Oceguera should not have had a serious shot in the first place. The default winner for an EVEN PVI white suburban district is the Republican more often than not. When this district was first drawn to be a 'fair fight split by registration' district Jon Porter won it by 19 points. Now its a 'fair fight split by registration' district again.

Come on.  Heck only barely beat Dina Titus in the GOP wave of the century in 2010.  Titus was a horrendous candidate who couldnt even beat Jim Gibbons in the governors race in a Dem wave year.  This will continue to be one of the key swing districts.  

And you forget to mention that Porter first one this district by 19 points over a Democrat with serious ethics problems. 

Obviously you did not look at who was removed from this district.