PPP: Obama holds leads in WI and IA

[Tender Branson]

WI:

51-45 Obama

IA:

49-47 Obama

In Iowa Obama is already building up a substantial lead during the early voting period. 34% of voters say they’ve already cast their ballots and 68% of them report having supported Obama to only 32% for Romney. Romney does have a 55/39 lead with those yet to vote.

PPP interviewed 827 likely Wisconsin voters and 690 likely Iowa voters on October 23rd
and 24th on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error for Wisconsin
is +/-3.4% and for Iowa it’s +/-3.7%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/IowaWisconsinPollingMemo102512.pdf

[Tender Branson]

FIREWALL !

[Yank2133]

Scotty will be out with his poll in an hour or two......

[DrScholl]

Better than McAfee.

[GMantis]

Iowa is too close considering PPP's lean to discount a high chance of it going to Romney. But that will be irrelevant if Obama can hold Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada.

[Yank2133]

Iowa is too close considering PPP's lean to discount a high chance of it going to Romney. But that will be irrelevant if Obama can hold Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada.

PPP doesn't have a Democratic lean anymore.

[Likely Voter]

Both polls show Obama going up from earlier October PPP polls. In fact Romney was ahead 1 in PPP's IA poll 8 days ago.

[dirks]

D+3 in Iowa

D+5 in WI

[GMantis]

Iowa is too close considering PPP's lean to discount a high chance of it going to Romney. But that will be irrelevant if Obama can hold Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada.

PPP doesn't have a Democratic lean anymore.

They consistently have among the best polls for Democrats.

[krazen1211]

In Iowa Obama is already building up a substantial lead during the early voting period. 34% of voters say they’ve already cast their ballots and 68% of them report having supported Obama to only 32% for Romney. Romney does have a 55/39 lead with those yet to vote.

Thankfully we know that to be junk based on the latest facts.

[Yank2133]

Iowa is too close considering PPP's lean to discount a high chance of it going to Romney. But that will be irrelevant if Obama can hold Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada.

PPP doesn't have a Democratic lean anymore.

They consistently have among the best polls for Democrats.

No, they really don't.

"But Public Policy Polling has lost most of the strong Democratic lean that it had earlier in the cycle, and it has even been on Mr. Romney’s side of the consensus in a few states like Iowa and New Hampshire. We now calculate their house effect as being only about half a percentage point in favor of Mr. Obama."

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/20/oct-20-calm-day-in-forecast-but-volatility-ahead/#more-36417

[Landslide Lyndon]

Splendiferous news!

[afleitch]

Rasmussen to post in five...four...

[Tender Branson]

Rasmussen to post in five...four...

Nope, Rasmussen has only scheduled an AZ poll anymore for 5pm EST.

[Lief 🗽]

The Romney campaign is collapsing before our very eyes.

[memphis]

What are Romney voters waiting for to vote? I don't think people who have already voted should be weighted the same as people who say they are going to. Everybody says they are going to vote, but a lot of them don't.

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Wisconsin President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-25

Summary: D: 51%, R: 45%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Iowa President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-25

Summary: D: 49%, R: 47%, I: 0%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I told you guys yesterday that Wisconsin is gone... and no one believed me. 

Not one to toot my own horn, but I have this race down to a "T". 

[J. J.]

Iowa is too close considering PPP's lean to discount a high chance of it going to Romney. But that will be irrelevant if Obama can hold Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada.

Basically my thought, on top of the early voting.  I would not include WI and NV.  If Obama holds Ohio, he has it.  He take WI and NV, and lose, if he also loses Ohio.