PPP to release ca. 20 different state polls next weekend

[Antonio the Sixth]

For better visibility:

Light: Tonight
Medium: Saturday
Dark: Sunday/Monday

Damn! They should poll Indiana and North Dakota, for the Senate races!

They can't. These states have banned robo-polling.

I thought PPP used live interviews?

[Joe Biden 2020]

It looks tonight is mostly three hotly contested Senate races.  Saturday will be mostly safe states with the exception of Wisconsin and maybe Pennsylvania, depending on who you believe.  Late Sunday will have the majority of the swing states.

[Tender Branson]

For better visibility:

Light: Tonight
Medium: Saturday
Dark: Sunday/Monday

Damn! They should poll Indiana and North Dakota, for the Senate races!

They can't. These states have banned robo-polling.

I thought PPP used live interviews?

No. PPP is a robo-pollster.

[Tender Branson]

Light: Tonight
Medium: Saturday
Dark: Sunday/Monday

So far we have:

WA, AZ, MT, MN, WI, MO & PA out later today.

[Likely Voter]

I just noticed that RCP seems to have stopped listing PPP polls. The last one they added was on Wednesday. 

[Ljube]

I just noticed that RCP seems to have stopped listing PPP polls. The last one they added was on Wednesday. 

They have their reputation to protect. They don't want to be off by too much.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I just noticed that RCP seems to have stopped listing PPP polls. The last one they added was on Wednesday. 

They have their reputation to protect. They don't want to be off by too much.

Yea, it's not like they were among the most accurate pollsters in 2008 and 2010 or anything

[cinyc]

I just noticed that RCP seems to have stopped listing PPP polls. The last one they added was on Wednesday. 

Most, if not all, of the PPP polls that RCP didn't add were for a left-wing PAC.  RCP doesn't include advocacy polls.  Nor should we, but we seem to have made an exception for PPP advocacy polls that isn't made for others.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Why is SC being ignored and we keep getting tons of polls out of places like DC and Massachusetts? I guess the senate race in MA.. but still..

They don't want anyone to find out that Obama is leading in South Carolina.

[Badger]

Thus far Obama gets (realistic) expected numbers for MN and (for him) good numbers out of CO. On the other hand he gets relatively weak numbers from OR, MI and PA.

He's not about to lose any of those latter 3 states, or even have any of them turn into an election night nail-biter either. But it does make me wonder if those state's weaker than expected showings are harbingers of last minutes undecided swings to Romney, which might make other swing states very dicey indeed for Obama.

But then MN and CO would have to be outliers. Hmmmmm.....


I give up.

[Ljube]

Thus far Obama gets (realistic) expected numbers for MN and (for him) good numbers out of CO. On the other hand he gets relatively weak numbers from OR, MI and PA.

He's not about to lose any of those latter 3 states, or even have any of them turn into an election night nail-biter either. But it does make me wonder if those state's weaker than expected showings are harbingers of last minutes undecided swings to Romney, which might make other swing states very dicey indeed for Obama.

Of course they are. Undecideds broke 75-25% for Kerry. Why wouldn't they break for Romney by the same margin?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Thus far Obama gets (realistic) expected numbers for MN and (for him) good numbers out of CO. On the other hand he gets relatively weak numbers from OR, MI and PA.

He's not about to lose any of those latter 3 states, or even have any of them turn into an election night nail-biter either. But it does make me wonder if those state's weaker than expected showings are harbingers of last minutes undecided swings to Romney, which might make other swing states very dicey indeed for Obama.

Of course they are. Undecideds broke 75-25% for Kerry. Why wouldn't they break for Romney by the same margin?

It is just as reasonable to ask why *would* they?  Generalizing from one sample is extremely tenuous logic.  2004 is not 2012, Kerry is not Romney, and Bush is not Obama.

Eight years ago, three out of four cars on my block were blue.  Should we assume the same is true today?

[Tender Branson]

Light: Tonight
Medium: Saturday
Dark: Sunday/Monday

So far we have:

AZ, MT, MO out later today.

Swing states out later tonight.

[Speed of Sound]

Still waitin' on.....a ton. NH and IA in, so the rest of the dark greens yet to come, unless I missed one.

[Niemeyerite]

For the moment:

[Lief 🗽]

BRACE YOURSELVES, OHIO IS ABOUT TO BE RELEASED.

[Person Man]

Ohio, Arizona and Montana down. Whose next?

[Gass3268]

Ohio, Arizona and Montana down. Whose next?

Virginia

[Speed of Sound]

A lot to go yet tonight, folks!

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[Antonio the Sixth]

I'm curious about Florida and Colorado (and the Nevada Senate race, too).

[Tender Branson]

Light: Tonight
Medium: Saturday
Dark: Sunday/Monday

So far we have:

FL & NC are total toss-ups. Obama leads by 1 poll respondent in FL, while Romney has a 2 poll respondent advantage in NC. The rounded finals are 50-49 Obama in FL and 49.4-49.2 Romney in NC.

CO & NV out later today.