Virginia: Washinton Post Poll: Obama 51- Romney 47

[Ty440]

Is the WA Post reliable?

Their track record is okay for a newspaper poll.  It's better than most Uni polls, but not that good.

Their poll four years ago said Obama +8. He won by 6.5%. Seems good to me.

Yeah, they are decent.

PPP is more worrisome for Romney supporters, they were right on the mark about Virginia.

I see RCP didn't include the PPP poll, it's tied now , Obama should be up on RCP.

[President von Cat]

What is their problem; how could they not include PPP, but they include Gravis? Ughh

[cinyc]

What is their problem; how could they not include PPP, but they include Gravis? Ughh

PPP's most recent Virginia poll was for a left-wing interest group.  It shouldn't have been included here or on Real Clear Politics, unless we're going to start including polls done for right-wing interest groups like Let Freedom Ring.

[Landslide Lyndon]

What is their problem;

Their guy is losing.

[DemPGH]

Fantabulous! Dream scenario is they wait and call OH and VA together for O. One thing to watch this week is, if the trackers trend a bit toward O, it's in the books. But in the absence of other information, and like they say in football, I'd rather be ahead than behind, especially getting late in the 4th qtr.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

That's not slim by any definition.

Depends on the sample size.  I'd categorize anything between 1 and 2 MoE's as a slim lead, so depending on the poll, 4% is either a slim lead or a tossup.  The large sample size for this poll makes this more than a Obama favoring tossup many polls with a 4% margin would be.

[Cliffy]

Looks like a junk poll unless they want to show some cross tabs.....

[pbrower2a]

At least the poll shows Mittmentum.
Their previous poll was 52-44 Obama.

...No Republican nominee has won without winning Virginia since 1924. It is possible for Mitt to win without Virginia, but he would have to win every other swing state (including Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio) and every near-swing state (Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin)

R-leaning pollsters have the state really close.

A week and a half before the election and being down 4 is about as bad as being down 10 six months before the election. Maybe worse.

[Cliffy]

supposedly D+4 turnout, if that happens you might win VA.  Oh and Romney is getting independents by 8.

Great poll for Romney.  More of these please.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

...No Republican nominee has won without winning Virginia since 1924.

stop this

[Yank2133]

supposedly D+4 turnout, if that happens you might win VA.  Oh and Romney is getting independents by 8.

Great poll for Romney.  More of these please.

Lmao, his down four with a week to go in a must win state for him......yeah great poll.

[Cliffy]

Well he's down in his 3 biggest counties in early voting so you have that to comfort you too.

[Skill and Chance]

supposedly D+4 turnout, if that happens you might win VA.  Oh and Romney is getting independents by 8.

Great poll for Romney.  More of these please.

Lmao, his down four with a week to go in a must win state for him......yeah great poll.

Also, McCain won VA independents in 2008.  VA independents are very conservative.

[Yank2133]

Well he's down in his 3 biggest counties in early voting so you have that to comfort you too.

Seeing how that it is absentee voting.....then yes I am not worried.

[dspNY]

For a comparison, the last 2008 WaPo Virginia poll had Obama up 52-44 on McCain, and he won 52-46, so they're a couple of points Dem, but not so far off that Obama would be behind

50-48 Obama is probably where VA stands at this point

[memphis]

Obama seems to be leading in OH and VA. Is there any plausible way Romney could win without those states? Fact is, because he never seriously contested PA or MI, he boxed himself into a very narrow strategy.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Obama seems to be leading in OH and VA. Is there any plausible way Romney could win without those states? Fact is, because he never seriously contested PA or MI, he boxed himself into a very narrow strategy.

Nothing plausible, but possible.

Romney-Ryan gets a bare majority, 270-268.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

The poll has a large sample size and includes cell phones. Very good.

This will be the margin in VA.  Simply excellent news.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Obama seems to be leading in OH and VA. Is there any plausible way Romney could win without those states? Fact is, because he never seriously contested PA or MI, he boxed himself into a very narrow strategy.

Nothing plausible, but possible.

Romney-Ryan gets a bare majority, 270-268.

Can I ask you why the  you are giving Wisconsin to Romney?  Please tell me the universe in which VA goes to Obama and WI goes to Romney.

[Umengus]

about his candidacy in the new poll, compared with 56 percent of those who back Romney.

And here's something else for Cliffy, Unmegus, Dirks, and Winfield......

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[/quote]

I object !

[Eraserhead]

Obama seems to be leading in OH and VA. Is there any plausible way Romney could win without those states? Fact is, because he never seriously contested PA or MI, he boxed himself into a very narrow strategy.

Nothing plausible, but possible.

Romney-Ryan gets a bare majority, 270-268.

Can I ask you why the  you are giving Wisconsin to Romney?  Please tell me the universe in which VA goes to Obama and WI goes to Romney.

Actually, the part that really doesn't work is Romney carrying Nevada. That's just not going to happen.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

To be fair, he said possible, not plausible...