FL: SurveyUSA plays it safe, shows tied race

[Tender Branson]

47% Obama
47% Romney
  1% Others
  5% Undecided

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 700 state of Florida adults 10/25/12 through 10/27/12. Of the adults, 643 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 595 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to do so on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (71% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (29% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7160c83f-98c8-4802-9758-bd492cdeb362

[Tender Branson]

Wow, this is probably going to be really close down there ...

[Tender Branson]

Trend chart is favorable for Romney though:



Also, in my prediction I had/have FL slightly going to Romney.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The difference between SurveyUSA and Mason Dixon is amongst Hispanics and the SE margin for Obama.

[Lief 🗽]

Florida is going to be the closest state.

[Tender Branson]

SurveyUSA will also release a new GA poll today or so.

I only know that the party ID will be 39% R and 37% D in this one. 65% White and 27% Black.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I think Obama's standing among Hispanics overall is more like the conventional wisdom, but I do think Obama is being overstated among Cubans.