Zogby launches final-week tracker for the US, FL, OH and VA (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:21:54 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Zogby launches final-week tracker for the US, FL, OH and VA (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Zogby launches final-week tracker for the US, FL, OH and VA  (Read 15483 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: October 30, 2012, 01:10:53 AM »

DAY 1:

USA

2-way: 47.4% Romney, 46.0% Obama
5-way: 45.8% Romney, 44.6% Obama, 2.0% Johnson, 0.9% Stein, 0.2% Goode

The new three-day rolling average of 1,076 U.S. likely voters, conducted online from Friday (October 26) through Sunday (October 28), has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points.

The NewsmaxZogby Poll of U.S. Likely Voters sampled 37% Democrats, 35% Republicans and 28.1% independents; 74.3% white, 10% Hispanic, and 12% African American; and 18% age 18-29, 39% age 30-49, 25% age 50-64, and 18% age 65+.

Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 1,076 is +/- 3.0 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

FLORIDA

2-way: 48.4% Romney, 46.7% Obama
5-way: 47.5% Romney, 46.2% Obama, 1.6% Johnson, 0.8% Stein, 0.2% Goode

The new three-day rolling average of 827 Florida likely voters, conducted online from Friday (October 26) through Sunday (October 28), has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points.

The NewsmaxZogby Poll of Florida Likely Voters sampled 35% Democrats, 37% Republicans and 28% independents; 70% white, 15% Hispanic, and 13% African American; and 15% age 18-29, 34% age 30-49, 28% age 50-64, and 23% age 65+.

Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 827 is +/- 3.5 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

OHIO

2-way: 49.5% Obama, 45.9% Romney
5-way: 48.2% Obama, 44.0% Romney, 2.6% Johnson, 1.3% Stein, 0.7% Goode

The new three-day rolling average of 827 Ohio likely voters, conducted online from Friday (October 26) through Sunday (October 28), has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points.

The NewsmaxZogby Poll of Ohio Likely Voters sampled 37% Democrats, 37% Republicans and 26% independents; 78% white, 5% Hispanic, and 12% African American; and 16.9% age 18-29, 38% age 30-49, 28.1% age 50-64, and 17% age 65+.

Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 827 is +/- 3.5 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

VIRGINIA

2-way: 48.4% Obama, 47.1% Romney
5-way: 48.1% Obama, 46.0% Romney, 1.1% Goode, 0.9% Johnson, 0.5% Stein

The new three-day rolling average of 827 Virginia likely voters, conducted online from Friday (October 26) through Sunday (October 28), has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points.

The NewsmaxZogby Poll of Virginia Likely Voters sampled 37% Democrats, 37% Republicans and 26% independents; 71% white, 6% Hispanic, and 19% African American; and 18% age 18-29, 38% age 30-49, 32% age 50-64, and 12% age 65+.

Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 827 is +/- 3.5 percentage points. This means that all other things being equal, the identical survey repeated will have results within the margin of error 95 times out of 100.

http://www.jzanalytics.com
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2012, 01:16:33 AM »

weird numbers with Romney leading PV and Obama leading in Ohio and Virginia.

It could be true if Obama is not doing so well in his "safe" states and Romney doing better in his "safe" southern and western states.

Especially if Obama is only ahead by 15 or so in CA and in MA ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2012, 02:06:02 PM »

DAY 2:

USA

2-way: 47.1% Romney, 45.9% Obama
5-way: 45.2% Romney, 44.9% Obama, 2.2% Johnson, 1.0% Stein, 0.8% Goode

FLORIDA

2-way: 48.0% Obama, 47.0% Romney
5-way: 47.4% Obama, 46.7% Romney, 1.7% Johnson, 0.4% Stein, 0.0% Goode

OHIO

2-way: 48.9% Obama, 45.2% Romney
5-way: 46.8% Obama, 43.6% Romney, 2.5% Johnson, 1.4% Stein, 1.3% Goode

VIRGINIA

2-way: 48.8% Romney, 45.1% Obama
5-way: 47.4% Romney, 45.3% Obama, 1.2% Goode, 1.1% Johnson, 0.3% Stein

http://www.jzanalytics.com
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2012, 01:58:28 PM »

Day 4:

47% Obama (+2)
47% Romney (-1)

47% Obama (+2)
46% Romney (-1)
  2% Johnson (nc)
  1% Goode (nc)
  1% Stein (nc)

Numbers for FL, OH, VA not yet posted.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2012, 07:27:15 AM »

Day 5:

48-46 Obama/Romney (+1, -1)

http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/zogby-obama-romney-poll/2012/11/02/id/462507

Obama/Sandymentum !
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2012, 11:32:57 AM »

Latest numbers:

USA

2-way: 48-46 Romney/Obama
5-way: 47-45-2-1-1 Romney/Obama/Johnson/Stein/Goode

FL

2-way: 50-45 Obama/Romney
5-way: 49-45-1-1-0 Obama/Romney/Stein/Johnson/Goode

OH

2-way: 50-44 Obama/Romney
5-way: 49-43-2-1-1 Obama/Romney/Johnson/Stein/Goode

VA

2-way: 52-44 Obama/Romney
5-way: 50-42-2-0-0 Obama/Romney/Johnson/Stein/Goode

http://www.jzanalytics.com
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2012, 11:39:34 AM »

Isn't it virtually impossible to trail nationwide by 2 and be ahead by 5-8 in FLOHVA ?

I guess this is because it's ZOGBY ... Tongue
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.034 seconds with 14 queries.