Quinnipiac last polls for OH, VA, and FL tomorrow morning (7 AM)

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

If this holds, the white working class will really have done Obama a solid. As a product of such a background myself--albeit in Massachusetts and Vermont, so a very different type of white working class from the kind one expects in Ohio--I'll be rather proud in that event.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I wonder what "essentially tied" means...

within MOE

I know. Just wondering if we'll see Romney +2 or Obama +2 type results.

I'd expect the former in Florida and the latter in Virginia, but I wouldn't be surprised to see the latter in both states. The former in both states would surprise me a little, and the former in Virginia with the latter in Florida would surprise me a lot, although maybe not as much as it would without the hurricane.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

2012 Presidential election: President Obama will be re-elected. Republicans flip IN; NC and NE-02 maybe.

US Senate: Democratic majority preserved.

House of Representatives: too little data.

We're not winning the House, dude. More's the pity.