MA: Suffolk University: Warren leads by seven, above 50% with a week to go
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  MA: Suffolk University: Warren leads by seven, above 50% with a week to go		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: MA: Suffolk University: Warren leads by seven, above 50% with a week to go  (Read 1364 times)
Lief 🗽
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« on: October 30, 2012, 12:01:45 PM »
New Poll: Massachusetts Senator by Suffolk University on 2012-10-28

Summary: D: 53%, R: 46%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2012, 12:12:52 PM »
This throws water on that UNH poll
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2012, 12:21:41 PM »
Confirmed. Such a shame.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2012, 12:30:59 PM »
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Franzl
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2012, 12:35:30 PM »
Checkmate.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2012, 12:36:21 PM »
Brown is toast. Goddammit.
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colincb
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2012, 01:31:38 PM »
UNH has made such a bad name for themselves with their polls this year..  Not sure about Suffolk as a pollster either given their decision not to re-poll VA, NC, and FL, but this poll seems more in line with the last dozen polls or so dating back into September.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2012, 01:48:32 PM »
A friend of mine (a total hack, mind you) said there is a Boston Herald poll out today showing Brown up two. Anyone know about this?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2012, 02:32:02 PM »
Yeah, it's this. Brown is up 45-43, but with leaners it's a 47-47 tie.
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they don't love you like i love you
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2012, 03:20:36 PM »
Even if the race was tied, which party is going to be better at getting people out in Massachusetts? Done. A nice blow to Moderate Heroism.
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colincb
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2012, 04:59:35 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on October 30, 2012, 01:48:32 PM
A friend of mine (a total hack, mind you) said there is a Boston Herald poll out today showing Brown up two. Anyone know about this?
The Brown +2 poll was yesterday's poll release done by the UNH for the Boston Globe.  Today's poll is from Suffolk U out of Boston.  UNH's polls (mostly of NH races) have been dreadful all cycle with ridiculous numbers of undecideds I'd toss anything they do into the hopper and most polls here have shown a lead for Warren of 4+ points (4.5% RCP average including the UNH poll) with Rasmussen having Warren up 5 last week. 

Haven't looked at the internals of this poll by Suffolk, but they have Obama winning by 32% which appears high.  I'd expect an Obama win MA in the 20-25 range and thus the margin in this Suffolk poll maybe 2-3 points high.  Not aware of any particular lean to this pollster, but they said earlier that they'd stop polling VA, NC, and FL because they locked up for Romney which was a pretty stupid thing to say.
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Nathan
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2012, 05:35:55 PM »
One thing I'll note in this poll is the overall general positivity that folks have about their own candidate. On both sides almost identical numbers in the low eighties saying that they're voting for their candidate rather than against the other one. That's refreshing.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2012, 11:51:21 PM »
Congratulations to MA on your first woman senator.  And what a first woman senator to have!
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2012, 11:55:37 PM »
Quote from: Ogre Mage on October 30, 2012, 11:51:21 PM
Congratulations to MA on your first woman senator.  And what a first woman senator to have!

Yeah, she'll instantly be one of the best of the hundred of them. Massachusetts may have the best Senate duo in the country after January 2013. Certainly one of the smartest.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2012, 12:31:33 AM »
Quote from: Lief on October 30, 2012, 11:55:37 PM
Quote from: Ogre Mage on October 30, 2012, 11:51:21 PM
Congratulations to MA on your first woman senator.  And what a first woman senator to have!

Yeah, she'll instantly be one of the best of the hundred of them. Massachusetts may have the best Senate duo in the country after January 2013. Certainly one of the smartest.

If only Feingold hadn't fallen in 2010, Wisconsin could have been a strong contender. Sad
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2012, 01:14:54 AM »
Oh my god yeah, Baldwin + Feingold would have been epic. Sad
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wan
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2012, 01:30:22 AM »

it's a wrap. He should just clean out his dc office and run for gov in 2014
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Franzl
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2012, 01:38:57 AM »
Even if Brown were leading by a couple of points, I'd give Warren the advantage on Election Day...but leading outside of the MOE in Massachusetts as a Democrat...
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