MA: Suffolk University: Warren leads by seven, above 50% with a week to go (user search)
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  MA: Suffolk University: Warren leads by seven, above 50% with a week to go (search mode)
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Author Topic: MA: Suffolk University: Warren leads by seven, above 50% with a week to go  (Read 1368 times)
colincb
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« on: October 30, 2012, 01:31:38 PM »

UNH has made such a bad name for themselves with their polls this year..  Not sure about Suffolk as a pollster either given their decision not to re-poll VA, NC, and FL, but this poll seems more in line with the last dozen polls or so dating back into September.
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colincb
Rookie
**
Posts: 60


Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -2.43

« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2012, 04:59:35 PM »

A friend of mine (a total hack, mind you) said there is a Boston Herald poll out today showing Brown up two. Anyone know about this?
The Brown +2 poll was yesterday's poll release done by the UNH for the Boston Globe.  Today's poll is from Suffolk U out of Boston.  UNH's polls (mostly of NH races) have been dreadful all cycle with ridiculous numbers of undecideds I'd toss anything they do into the hopper and most polls here have shown a lead for Warren of 4+ points (4.5% RCP average including the UNH poll) with Rasmussen having Warren up 5 last week. 

Haven't looked at the internals of this poll by Suffolk, but they have Obama winning by 32% which appears high.  I'd expect an Obama win MA in the 20-25 range and thus the margin in this Suffolk poll maybe 2-3 points high.  Not aware of any particular lean to this pollster, but they said earlier that they'd stop polling VA, NC, and FL because they locked up for Romney which was a pretty stupid thing to say.
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