MI, Glengariff Group: Obama in the lead

[krazen1211]

Link

Romney 45
Obama 47.7


Good news. Romney is surging across the midwest. Hence of course the quest for 320 electoral votes and the recent ad buys in Michigan.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama +1.7, Romney +0.6 since their last poll.

[Speed of Sound]

Obama +1.7, Romney +0.6 since their last poll.

Lol. Oh krazy, you're such a good time. Wonderful news.

[Yank2133]

What is with MI polls and decimals?

[RogueBeaver]

What is with MI polls and decimals?

This. Like PA, fools' gold except as a decoy.

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, I'd like to get a quality poll of this state at some point this election cycle.

[Reds4]

I'm a Republican.. and I'm not buying Michigan being this close... Obama carries it pretty comfortably.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Can we please get a real MI poll?

[Seriously?]

I'm a Republican.. and I'm not buying Michigan being this close... Obama carries it pretty comfortably.

I don't doubt the race is at O+3. There's a reason why both the Romney PACs and now Obama are spending money in the state. But turning around a state that went to Obama by 16+ points in 2012 is difficult. Even assuming an R+7 or R+8 shift in the electorate like Gallup does, Obama still wins.

[Cliffy]

I'm a Republican.. and I'm not buying Michigan being this close... Obama carries it pretty comfortably.

I don't doubt the race is at O+3. There's a reason why both the Romney PACs and now Obama are spending money in the state. But turning around a state that went to Obama by 16+ points in 2012 is difficult. Even assuming an R+7 or R+8 shift in the electorate like Gallup does, Obama still wins.

yep, If It was O+5> neither one would be spending money and effort there.

[Eraserhead]

The two posters above me are going to be saddened when Obama wins MI by 6-12% on election night.

[Seriously?]

The two posters above me are going to be saddened when Obama wins MI by 6-12% on election night.

Not quite sure how I'd be "saddened."

I NEVER said Romney was going to win Michigan. In fact, I was pretty sure that I said the opposite. And I wouldn't be shocked if Obama won Michigan by (more likely) 6-9% points, either. 

What I did say was, I am not shocked with the O+3 result. Why? Both the Romney PACs and the Obama campaign have bought airtime in Michigan. Neither group would have done so unless they saw a road to a possible victory for the other candidate.

I suggest you stop putting words in my mouth.

[Speed of Sound]

Just so everyone here is clear, Glengarrif Group is (R).

[Eraserhead]

How did I put "words in your mouth"? If I had said "Seriously? just admitted he's a big, whiney baby" that would be putting words in your mouth. I did no such thing!

[Antonio the Sixth]

LOL What's up with all these unknown, decimals-loving and probably crappy polling firms active only in Michigan?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

LOL What's up with all these unknown, decimals-loving and probably crappy polling firms active only in Michigan?

This poll sometimes doesn't use decimals. Does that make you feel better?

[Badger]

Link

Romney 45
Obama 47.7


Good news. Romney is surging across the midwest. Hence of course the quest for 320 electoral votes and the recent ad buys in Michigan.

My offer stands to bet the loser baring the winner's (non-TOS violating) choice of sig for a month that Romney won't win MI. I'll even offer you 2 (months) to 1 odds here.

That is unless you truly don't believe Romney is "surging across the midwest" as you claim.....

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Michigan President by Glengariff Group on 2012-10-30

Summary: D: 48%, R: 45%, I: 1%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Holmes]

Michigan has consistently had bad polls this cycle. I wish it'd be polled more by PPP, Ras, or Quinnipac. Hell, I'd even take SUSA.

[ajb]

Michigan has consistently had bad polls this cycle. I wish it'd be polled more by PPP, Ras, or Quinnipac. Hell, I'd even take SUSA.

I suspect that the lack of high-quality polling in MI this year has to do with those high-quality pollsters thinking MI is not in play.

[tmthforu94]

At this point, should Romney just throw a bunch of money at Michigan in the last few days and hope for an upset? While the national PV is looking good for Mitt, Ohio is being pretty stubborn.