PPP NC: Still tied. (user search)
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  PPP NC: Still tied. (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP NC: Still tied.  (Read 1766 times)
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« on: October 31, 2012, 01:01:17 PM »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Barack Obama and Mitt Romney continue to be tied on our new North Carolina poll. Results coming up
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2012, 01:06:56 PM »

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/still-tied-in-north-carolina.html

If the race is truly tied, then Obama has already won.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2012, 01:27:19 PM »


In 2010 and during the primaries they seemed the golden standard, but I suppose they've changed their methodology and it's not really working. Or perhaps it was the forum bubble that made me think that- were they good in the first place?

There's... no evidence to suggest that PPP has been off this year, other than that some people have decided that NC's a lock for Romney based on some kind of gut feeling and a SUSA poll or two. NC's been tied for months.

This.

PPP is based in NC and historically their polls have been very accurate there. It is one thing to crap on them about FL, but NC ( and VA for that matter.....), they know better then anyone.

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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2012, 01:34:03 PM »


In 2010 and during the primaries they seemed the golden standard, but I suppose they've changed their methodology and it's not really working. Or perhaps it was the forum bubble that made me think that- were they good in the first place?

There's... no evidence to suggest that PPP has been off this year, other than that some people have decided that NC's a lock for Romney based on some kind of gut feeling and a SUSA poll or two. NC's been tied for months.

This.

PPP is based in NC and historically their polls have been very accurate there. It is one thing to crap on them about FL, but NC ( and VA for that matter.....), they know better then anyone.



Yeah, the polls we have showing Romney ahead in North Carolina are SUSA (pretty bad) and Rasmussen (lol). If I see a CBS or WaPo poll showing Romney leading there I'll take it seriously, but I don't think NC is anything other than a tie right now.

Yeah, even Charlie Cook has moved NC back to toss up.

I still think Romney will win, but it is no lock.
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