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  Rasmussen: Romney with Slight Lead In Iowa (R+1)
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Author Topic: Rasmussen: Romney with Slight Lead In Iowa (R+1)  (Read 4376 times)
Seriously?
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« on: November 01, 2012, 12:20:17 pm »
« edited: November 01, 2012, 12:50:28 pm by Dave Leip »

Romney 49, Obama 48
MOE: +/- 4%

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Vosem
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2012, 12:37:30 pm »

The 58K Democratic advantage in early voting here is generally considered to translate roughly the results from 2004 here. Sounds, gotta say, about right.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2012, 12:46:01 pm »

Glorious news!
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2012, 12:54:04 pm »

New Poll: Iowa President by Rasmussen on 2012-10-31

Summary: D: 48%, R: 49%, I: 2%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2012, 12:59:07 pm »

Ugh, Rasmussen and his horrible polls screwing up the Atlas map. Sad
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Ljube
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2012, 01:01:42 pm »

Ugh, Rasmussen and his horrible polls screwing up the Atlas map. Sad

Making sure Atlas doesn't make a single wrong call.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2012, 02:23:15 pm »

Ugh, Rasmussen and his horrible polls screwing up the Atlas map. Sad

538.com.  That map is beautiful, and probably dead-on. 
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DemPGH
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2012, 02:48:32 pm »

Pre-determined result, as he more or less claims. I wonder if he just makes a couple calls and then tweaks ones he has on file.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2012, 02:59:51 pm »

Glorious news!

Indeed.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2012, 03:13:55 pm »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2012, 03:43:00 pm »

Scott is really laying things on the line here and hedging his bet that Romney wins this race. If he doesn't, his reputation will take a huge hit.
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Ljube
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2012, 03:46:56 pm »
« Edited: November 01, 2012, 03:49:28 pm by Ljube »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2012, 11:50:04 pm »
« Edited: November 11, 2012, 12:16:33 am by Eraserhead »

Scott is really laying things on the line here and hedging his bet that Romney wins this race. If he doesn't, his reputation will take a huge hit.

Yeah, pretty much. It would be almost like the hit Zogby took in 2004.

I hope he sticks to his guns at this point though now. I don't want to see him magically switch every important state from a small Romney lead to a small Obama lead in the last 24-48 hours.
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Badger
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2012, 08:35:18 pm »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).

Are you seriously willing to bet Romney sweeps ALL those non-IA states??

Let me know. I'll take that bet.
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Ljube
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2012, 09:06:06 pm »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).

Are you seriously willing to bet Romney sweeps ALL those non-IA states??

Let me know. I'll take that bet.

I already have one bet.

By the way, the bet you are proposing isn't fair. I lose if Romney doesn't carry just one of those states, all of which are rated either tossup or lean Obama.
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Vosem
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2012, 09:11:14 pm »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).

Romney is clearly likelier to win IA than NH or WI. It's a matter of probabilities -- what you're saying isn't impossible but looks very unlikely.
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Badger
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2012, 09:17:52 pm »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).

Are you seriously willing to bet Romney sweeps ALL those non-IA states??

Let me know. I'll take that bet.

I already have one bet.

By the way, the bet you are proposing isn't fair. I lose if Romney doesn't carry just one of those states, all of which are rated either tossup or lean Obama.

Well, that's what it sounded like you bet with your friend. That's why I was so eager to get a piece of that action. Grin

So what was your bet with your friend?

For that matter, what do you propose as a bet here. Wink
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Ljube
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2012, 09:47:33 pm »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).

Are you seriously willing to bet Romney sweeps ALL those non-IA states??

Let me know. I'll take that bet.

I already have one bet.

By the way, the bet you are proposing isn't fair. I lose if Romney doesn't carry just one of those states, all of which are rated either tossup or lean Obama.

Well, that's what it sounded like you bet with your friend. That's why I was so eager to get a piece of that action. Grin

So what was your bet with your friend?

For that matter, what do you propose as a bet here. Wink

The bet with my friend was: Who will win the election?
I said Romney. He said Obama.

I simply couldn't believe people would vote to reelect someone as ineffective as President Obama.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2012, 09:50:38 pm »

So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).

Are you seriously willing to bet Romney sweeps ALL those non-IA states??

Let me know. I'll take that bet.

I already have one bet.

By the way, the bet you are proposing isn't fair. I lose if Romney doesn't carry just one of those states, all of which are rated either tossup or lean Obama.

Well, that's what it sounded like you bet with your friend. That's why I was so eager to get a piece of that action. Grin

So what was your bet with your friend?

For that matter, what do you propose as a bet here. Wink

The bet with my friend was: Who will win the election?
I said Romney. He said Obama.

I simply couldn't believe people would vote to reelect someone as ineffective as President Obama.
Turns out people are smart enough to realize that the Republicans in congress were literally acting for the sole purpose of destroying him.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2012, 10:11:01 pm »

D'aww, Scotty thinks he can make polls too!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: November 10, 2012, 08:06:19 am »

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