Reuters Tracking -- O +5 Va. O +2 Ohio, Fla. Romney +1 Colorado
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  Reuters Tracking -- O +5 Va. O +2 Ohio, Fla. Romney +1 Colorado
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Author Topic: Reuters Tracking -- O +5 Va. O +2 Ohio, Fla. Romney +1 Colorado  (Read 1513 times)
pa2011
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« on: November 01, 2012, 08:05:44 PM »
« edited: November 01, 2012, 08:11:34 PM by pa2011 »

Virginia -- Obama 49 Romney 44.

Ohio -- Obama 47 Romney 45

Florida - Obama 48 Romney 46

Colorado Romney 47 Obama 46.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/111855196/2012-Reuters-Ipsos-State-Polling-11-01-12

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/01/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE89K0A920121101
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LiberalJunkie
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2012, 08:09:14 PM »

Obama is surging in Virginia.
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Ljube
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2012, 08:12:44 PM »

Do we really need more polls that are telling us essentially the same thing?
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ajb
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2012, 08:15:57 PM »

Do we really need more polls that are telling us essentially the same thing?
Well, the more polls we have, for example, with Obama narrowly ahead in Ohio, the more likely it is that that lead is real, and not random chance. So I certainly don't mind having more of them.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2012, 08:16:31 PM »

Do we really need more polls that are telling us essentially the same thing?

Uh... yes?
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J. J.
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2012, 08:23:35 PM »


Ipsos has about a three point house effect, so I can believe most of those.  VA will be close.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2012, 08:25:00 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2012, 08:33:27 PM by Skill and Chance »


Climate is an election issue now.  As I have pointed out before, that helps Obama in NOVA, FL and in the Southwest.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2012, 08:30:50 PM »


Ipsos has about a three point house effect, so I can believe most of those.  VA will be close.
Wait, are you suggesting that you think CO is R+4 right now? Come on, brother.
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Reds4
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2012, 08:35:35 PM »

These polls make no sense.. Obama with a 17 point lead among registered voters in Virginia and Romney with a 6 point lead among Registered voters in Colorado.. no way.
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Ljube
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2012, 08:40:49 PM »

Do we really need more polls that are telling us essentially the same thing?
Well, the more polls we have, for example, with Obama narrowly ahead in Ohio, the more likely it is that that lead is real, and not random chance. So I certainly don't mind having more of them.

It's futile to argue with disciples of any religion. So I won't.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2012, 08:58:14 PM »


Ipsos has about a three point house effect, so I can believe most of those.  VA will be close.
Wait, are you suggesting that you think CO is R+4 right now? Come on, brother.

I think that is a lot more likely than a Obama +5 in VA. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2012, 09:10:42 PM »


Not sure how much I'd trust VA polls at the moment.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2012, 10:11:03 PM »


Not sure how much I'd trust VA polls at the moment.

I think the most liberal areas of the state were hardest hit by the storm.  Genuinely surprised at what we are seeing.  I thought all the post-Sandy national polls would go Romney +3-6 this week due to not being able to reach the Northeast.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2012, 10:28:53 PM »


Not sure how much I'd trust VA polls at the moment.

I think the most liberal areas of the state were hardest hit by the storm.  Genuinely surprised at what we are seeing.  I thought all the post-Sandy national polls would go Romney +3-6 this week due to not being able to reach the Northeast.

The 9th district got a foot of snow.
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SPQR
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2012, 03:55:59 AM »

I must say I'll miss the "poll cherry-picking" by Republicans after Tuesday.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2012, 06:58:40 AM »

Huh, wouldn't expect a result like this. Florida has moved back from tilt R to pure tossup. CO may be lost.
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Holmes
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2012, 08:06:57 AM »

Colorado will be a photo finish.
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