CA-Field Poll: Obama+15

[Tender Branson]

54-39 Obama

http://www.pe.com/local-news/politics/ben-goad-headlines/20121102-field-poll-obama-on-track-to-coast-in-california.ece

[ucscgaldamez]

link does not work

[Tender Branson]

link does not work

Must have pulled it, maybe it was embargoed.

They will put it on the Field page anyway later today.

[politicallefty]

With this poll, it's pretty safe to say now that Obama won't crack 60%. I still think he'll get in the high-50s though. I think the map will look similar to the 2010 governor's race, but with Obama running a few points stronger across the board (thus carrying a couple more counties in Southern California).

[Umengus]

he won by 24 in 2008. Big difference... especially for a state like CA.

[Eraserhead]

Orange County should have quite the frighteningly huge swing. lol.

[politicallefty]

Orange County should have quite the frighteningly huge swing. lol.

I think so also, as well as OC-type voters in surrounding counties. In SoCal, that'll cost Obama Riverside and possibly San Luis Obispo (and San Bernardino on a bad night). In the North, I think he'll loss Stanislaus, Fresno, Butte, with Trinity being a toss-up. Overall, I would expect the closer counties of Nevada and Merced to stay with the President.