WA: PPP Obama +7

[Speed of Sound]

According to their twitter:

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[Skill and Chance]

They are really pushing the electoral college advantage narrative this weekend.  Still, no reason to trust them any more or less than Ras.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Did they forget to poll King or something?

[bgwah]

I have a feeling they're just trying to drag down their pro-Dem skew before the election so people can't as easily claim they're biased in the future...but I suppose we'll see on Tuesday!

[Yank2133]

PPP has been quite bullish on Obama in Washington, their last poll only had him up 5 there.

[Reginald]

So maybe Washington won't be much more D than Oregon after all. Still find this margin a bit tough to believe though.

[Ty440]

Amazing news!

[Holmes]

I have a feeling they're just trying to drag down their pro-Dem skew before the election so people can't as easily claim they're biased in the future...but I suppose we'll see on Tuesday!

Mmhmm. Their Michigan and Minnesota look good, but Oregon and Washington's look closer than conventional knowledge dictates. And even goes against much of other polls, at least in Washington's case. We'll see.

[Miles]

Well, they had Rossi winning by 1 in 2010.

[Gass3268]

They are really pushing the electoral college advantage narrative this weekend.  Still, no reason to trust them any more or less than Ras.

Other than the fact that PPP has been right 100x more then Scotty ever has!

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Strange to think that Obama wouldn't be able to outpace John Kerry in WA.  

Weird results in the Pac. NW from PPP this cycle.  Does Romney even have a field office up there?  We'll see what happens on Tuesday.  I think it'll wind up being Obama by 10 in OR and 12 in WA.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Amazing news!

Amazing news is reserved for Romney leads.

This qualifies as "not too shabby"

[Devils30]

I think in the end Obama takes both OR and WA by 11 or so. For some reason PPP always is more friendly in WA than other states.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

For what it's worth, PPP only did one poll of either OR or WA in 2008... a last minute poll in OR, and came pretty close.  Take that for what it's worth. 

[Badger]

PPP has been quite bullish bearish on Obama in Washington, their last poll only had him up 5 there.

I think that's what you meant.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

The Pacific Northwest leans Democratic more for social issues than economic ones.  So it's not so odd that in an election dominated by the economy that Oregon and Washington would trend Republican.

[Andrew1]

PPP are indicating Obama is losing more support in safe states than competitive ones. This seems a legitimate explanation for the popular vote being nearly tied, while he is comfortably ahead in the electoral college.

[Eraserhead]

Washington's polls have been all over the place. There was an Obama +21 one just the other day.

SUSA's Obama +14 is probably the closest one to the truth.

[politicallefty]

I really don't think Washington will be this close, although the margin does work with their Oregon poll. It just seems like PPP is under-polling Obama in the Pacific Northwest. If they're right, this could be some of the explanation for Obama's under-performance in national polls versus the battleground polls. On the other hand, he didn't really under-poll in the area in 2008, so I don't know. This is the first presidential year that Washington is entirely vote-by-mail.