Which state legislatures will flip control in the 2012 elections?
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  Which state legislatures will flip control in the 2012 elections?
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Author Topic: Which state legislatures will flip control in the 2012 elections?  (Read 9197 times)
greenforest32
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« Reply #25 on: November 07, 2012, 10:53:40 PM »

Awesome, Minnesota flipped back! That means we won't see the anti-gay marriage amendment again in 2013 or 2014, when IMO it would have a much better chance of passing (due to different turnout models in off years).

Also, NY Senate is not at all certain yet. Democrats won one race by only 140 votes, so that might change. The Democrat who defeated David Storobin has threatened to caucus with Republicans if he doesn't get a bunch of pretty unreasonable socially conservative demands. Plus it's always possible to buy someone off, like the Republicans did with Pedro Espada and his cohorts a few years ago.

Yeah I've never understood the appeal for the continuation of the cross-chamber (D-House, R-Senate) gerrymander in New York. Cuomo's probably not happy with a Democratic legislature either after that redistricting 'compromise'.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #26 on: November 08, 2012, 04:11:38 AM »

Wow it looks like California Democrats hit the 2/3 super-majority in both chambers: http://abclocal.go.com/kabc/story?section=news/politics&id=8877762

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It'll be even worse for California Republicans when that election-day registration bill kicks in in 2016.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #27 on: November 08, 2012, 08:31:32 PM »

Awesome, Minnesota flipped back! That means we won't see the anti-gay marriage amendment again in 2013 or 2014, when IMO it would have a much better chance of passing (due to different turnout models in off years).

Also, NY Senate is not at all certain yet. Democrats won one race by only 140 votes, so that might change. The Democrat who defeated David Storobin has threatened to caucus with Republicans if he doesn't get a bunch of pretty unreasonable socially conservative demands. Plus it's always possible to buy someone off, like the Republicans did with Pedro Espada and his cohorts a few years ago.

Absentees usually favor Democrats in most parts of New York, so I am thinking thte Democrat will probably win that Albany area seat.

This just shows that there is only so much gerrymandering you can do to protect your majority.  Democrats saw the same exact problem in Arkansas.
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nclib
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« Reply #28 on: November 09, 2012, 10:57:12 PM »
« Edited: November 09, 2012, 11:37:25 PM by nclib »

Including Governors, this appears to be the party control:

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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #29 on: November 09, 2012, 11:07:54 PM »

Republicans will still control the Montana Legislature, I think.
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nclib
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« Reply #30 on: November 09, 2012, 11:37:46 PM »

Republicans will still control the Montana Legislature, I think.

Fixed that.
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