Susquehanna Polling/Tribune-Review: PA: Tie

[pepper11]

And, you can't dismiss this poll just because its a positive poll for Romney.

Yeah you can. See recent thread on Romney lead in MN.

[pepper11]

Bear in mind that Susquehanna has shown the best results for ROmney in PA, making even the Rasmussen polls look like they were oversampling Dems.

Examples:
Tribune-Review/Susquehanna   9/18 - 9/20   Obama +2
Rasmussen Reports   9/19 - 9/19   Obama +12

Susquehanna   10/4 - 10/6   Obama +2
Rasmussen Reports   10/9 - 10/9   Obama +5

Tribune-Review/Susquehanna   2/2 - 2/6   Romney +2
Rasmussen Reports   2/8 - 2/23   Obama +1

Sesque was close in 08, predicting Obama + 8 as their final poll.

[pepper11]

Predicting Obama +8 when the final is Obama +11 is not close enough, especially when used to argue a state Obama is probably only going to win by 5 is tied.

If a pollster does not get the exact margin you discredit them? Marist was off by 3 as well in PA (other direction). Do you discredit all their polls for this reason as well?