Official 2012 Presidential Prediction Thread
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Author Topic: Official 2012 Presidential Prediction Thread  (Read 10242 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: November 04, 2012, 12:18:07 PM »
I have yet to see a thread dedicated totally to posting final predictions (Tender seems to have one just for himself. Egomaniac Tongue). If there is one, don't kill me. Just bring it to my attention and I'll delete this.  Smiley


My prediction:




Obama/Biden - 294
Romney/Ryan - 244


National Popular Vote

Obama/Biden - 49%
Romney/Ryan - 48%
Others - 3%
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stegosaurus
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2012, 12:27:14 PM »


Obama - 48.2% - 284 EVs
Romney - 50.4% - 254 EVs
Other - 1.4%
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2012, 12:58:04 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on November 04, 2012, 12:18:07 PM
I have yet to see a thread dedicated totally to posting final predictions (Tender seems to have one just for himself. Egomaniac Tongue). If there is one, don't kill me. Just bring it to my attention and I'll delete this.  Smiley


My prediction:




Obama/Biden - 294
Romney/Ryan - 244


National Popular Vote

Obama/Biden - 49%
Romney/Ryan - 48%
Others - 3%

Your map is the same as mine, but I expect Obama to do slightly better in the PV.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2012, 01:03:24 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2012, 01:23:36 PM by WalterMitty »


closer than the experts think.

obama: 275
romney: 263

obama wins by about 2% in the popular vote.
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TomC
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2012, 01:26:50 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2012, 01:28:30 PM by Pictor Ignotus »


303-235

50-48-2
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Mechaman
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2012, 01:43:10 PM »
The loser will accuse the winner of rigging votes.
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jbtornado
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2012, 01:47:02 PM »
Keystone Phil has the exact same map I do..
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2012, 01:47:45 PM »
This, and its been my map since June.
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Vern
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2012, 01:52:31 PM »


Romeny wins PV by 3-5%
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2012, 01:54:42 PM »
So Romney wins 277-261 but wins the popular vote by 3-5%?
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Vern
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« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2012, 02:00:54 PM »

Yea, Romney will rack up a lot of votes in the safe Republican states, plus do better then other Republicans in the safe Democratic Norteastern states. But Obama will do good in swing states to keep the EV close, but not the PV.
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CLARENCE 2015!
clarence
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« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2012, 02:03:25 PM »


I don't know how to change the shades... I predict Obama will win 277-261 in the Electoral vote and Romney will win a narrow popular vote victory... something along the lines of 49.9% to 49.7%
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2012, 02:05:30 PM »


Barack Obama: 51% PV, 332 EVs
Mitt Romney: 48% PV, 206 EVs

Sticking with it.  Changed Hawaii to high 60% for Obama.  Florida is going to be the closest state methinks, it could really go either way, but I'm starting to think the undecideds are breaking in a way similar to 2004.  If I get that one wrong I won't be too mad at myself.

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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2012, 02:21:29 PM »
Quote from: AWallTEP81 on November 04, 2012, 02:05:30 PM


Barack Obama: 51% PV, 332 EVs
Mitt Romney: 48% PV, 206 EVs

Sticking with it.  Changed Hawaii to high 60% for Obama.  Florida is going to be the closest state methinks, it could really go either way, but I'm starting to think the undecideds are breaking in a way similar to 2004.  If I get that one wrong I won't be too mad at myself.



This is my map, but Romney will only win North Carolina in the 40% range.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2012, 02:25:09 PM »
Obama ain't winning Florida, and I don't care if y'all dog me with this quote for years if he does. Barack Obama will not win Florida.
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2012, 02:25:12 PM »
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2012, 04:05:31 PM »
Alright, I'll play ball:



Obama 294-244

National PV:

Obama: 50.5%
Romney: 48.4%
Other: 1.1%

Closest state: CO
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Harry
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« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2012, 04:30:10 PM »
Same 294-244 map as lots already posted.  Obama wins popular vote by 1.3 points
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SnapPoll
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« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2012, 04:53:16 PM »
Don't know who will come out on top, but if Obama wins, I don't think he'll get over 281 EVs.

If Romeny wins, it will with more than 281 EVs most likely
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mileslunn
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« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2012, 06:24:25 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on November 04, 2012, 12:18:07 PM
I have yet to see a thread dedicated totally to posting final predictions (Tender seems to have one just for himself. Egomaniac Tongue). If there is one, don't kill me. Just bring it to my attention and I'll delete this.  Smiley


My prediction:




Obama/Biden - 294
Romney/Ryan - 244


National Popular Vote

Obama/Biden - 49%
Romney/Ryan - 48%
Others - 3%

Almost the same although I have it 290 Obama/Biden to 248 for Romney/Ryan.  My only differences are I have Obama winning Colorado while Romney winning Virginia although I am more confident in predicting those will be the two closest states over predicting who will win.  Popular vote, Both tied at 49% each.
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renegadedemocrat
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« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2012, 06:32:07 PM »
332-206, closest state being Florida, probably be called Friday or so.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2012, 06:37:14 PM »


Obama: 323
Romney: 215

Obama wins popular vote by 2%

I was hesitant about Florida.
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Ljube
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« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2012, 07:49:56 PM »
The only possible win for Romney:




Romney 271
Obama 267
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gsmiro
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« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2012, 10:09:10 PM »


Let's see if this scenario would come true.  R picks up FL, NC, VA, OH, and NH.  Rest go to D.  R & D splits EV, but R wins PV 49 to 48%, with 2% go to Libertarian.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2012, 11:27:57 PM »


303 - 235

Obama wins PV by 1.5%.
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