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  FL-InsiderAdvantage: Romney+5
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Author Topic: FL-InsiderAdvantage: Romney+5  (Read 1961 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 05, 2012, 07:04:18 am »

52% Romney
47% Obama

http://members.jacksonville.com/news/premium/florida/2012-11-04/story/romney-has-5-point-lead-florida-times-unioninsider-advantage-poll-says
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J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2012, 08:05:55 am »

Not a great poll, but consistent with most polls in showing a lead. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 08:12:08 am »

Oh dear, InsiderAdvantage is back...
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Once & Future Pres. Griff
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 08:19:06 am »

God knows they did a great job at polling Georgia.
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Franzl
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 08:21:41 am »

Romney is going to win Florida, I think there are enough polls that do suggest that . Just as you can't subtract 5% from every PPP poll like J.J. thinks..you can't only trust them against all contrary evidence.
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J. J.
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2012, 08:51:39 am »

Romney is going to win Florida, I think there are enough polls that do suggest that . Just as you can't subtract 5% from every PPP poll like J.J. thinks..you can't only trust them against all contrary evidence.

Not quite, and a rule of thumb is just that.

My problem is trying to figure out how much is PPP off.  I think it is back to above D +3, but I don't know how much above +3. 
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2012, 09:08:46 am »

Sample size- 437.  C'mon, son.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2012, 09:53:16 am »

New Poll: Florida President by Insider Advantage on 2012-11-04

Summary: D: 47%, R: 52%, I: 0%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2012, 03:11:11 am »

Tongue
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #9 on: November 09, 2012, 05:18:29 am »

IA should never have repolled Florida or Georgia.  Their first polls of both states were reasonably good: O+3 and R+9 respectively.  Their second polls were utter disasters tho: R+5 and R+21 respectively.
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