University of Cincinnati (OH): Obama up by 1.5

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Ohio isn't a certainty - Whoever has the best GOTV efforts will likely win this election.

Exactly. 

Sam Stein ‏@samsteinhp
Obama campaign says they knocked on 376k doors in Ohio yesterday, Romney camp says 70k. Both probably exaggerating a bit

....wow......

But ~Project Orca~ is going to blow this thing wide open!

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Nailed it.

Congratulations, University of Cincinnati.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Yeah, this poll looks like it got it right. I thought the final result in Ohio was very underwhelming. Romney won two bellwethers I was looking at (Lake and Stark Counties). I think Romney got his base out, but was just overwhelmed by Obama's ground game. Ohio 2012 seems like the mirror of Ohio 2004 (except that this year's result didn't hinge on Ohio).

Obama did, however, win the ultimate Ohio bellwether, Ottawa County, by very slightly more than his statewide margin.