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  Gallup Final National Poll: Romney +1
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Author Topic: Gallup Final National Poll: Romney +1  (Read 2453 times)
Lief 🐋
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« on: November 05, 2012, 12:53:54 pm »

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-11-05/breaking-gallup-to-show-romney-obama-in-dead-heat#r=pol-s

Mitt Romney 49
Obama 48

Gallup = cowards.
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2012, 12:56:40 pm »


That's a 4-5 pt swing to Obama from what they were showing before they took their hurricane break. 

I'm seeing more and more evidence to suggest that a majority the undecideds from a week ago went to Obama.  Approval is above water and people still have a favorable view of him.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2012, 01:01:26 pm »

Yup, undecideds have brokenly decidedly for the President.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 01:05:04 pm »

What is their RV voters numbers?
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2012, 01:25:43 pm »

It is becoming more and more likely that Romney will win the popular vote tommorrow, but the President will win the electoral vote.
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old timey villain
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2012, 01:29:21 pm »

It is becoming more and more likely that Romney will win the popular vote tommorrow, but the President will win the electoral vote.

No, Obama will win the popular and electoral vote tomorrow. The national polls have fallen more in line with the state polls.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2012, 01:31:18 pm »

It is becoming more and more likely that Romney will win the popular vote tommorrow, but the President will win the electoral vote.
The Redskins lost so that has to be true.
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ChrisFromNJ
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« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2012, 01:37:33 pm »

It is becoming more and more likely that Romney will win the popular vote tommorrow, but the President will win the electoral vote.

No, Obama will win the popular and electoral vote tomorrow. The national polls have fallen more in line with the state polls.

Dont get wrong. I think the President has a definitive advantage in Ohio, Wisconsin and Iowa, states that will clinch his re-election. But I just think that there will be some ugly numbers being run up against the President in the South and the Sunbelt, and he'll lose North Carolina and Florida by wider than expected margins.

All of the national polls I've seen over the last day or two are within the margin of error of each other. From Obama +2 to Romney +1. There are a few that seem to be outliers that give the President a larger lead, but I think that is unlikely.
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J. J.
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« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2012, 01:41:48 pm »

Approval has not been updated.

This is great news.

The weekly shows it +2, but it has truncated by the hurricane.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 01:43:59 pm »

RV

Obama-49(+1)
Romney-46(-2)
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2012, 01:53:06 pm »

Ha! I told a friend last night that the Gallup would show Romney ahead by 1 or 2, but Obama ahead in the RV by 3!
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old timey villain
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« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2012, 01:53:32 pm »

It is becoming more and more likely that Romney will win the popular vote tommorrow, but the President will win the electoral vote.

No, Obama will win the popular and electoral vote tomorrow. The national polls have fallen more in line with the state polls.

Dont get wrong. I think the President has a definitive advantage in Ohio, Wisconsin and Iowa, states that will clinch his re-election. But I just think that there will be some ugly numbers being run up against the President in the South and the Sunbelt, and he'll lose North Carolina and Florida by wider than expected margins.

All of the national polls I've seen over the last day or two are within the margin of error of each other. From Obama +2 to Romney +1. There are a few that seem to be outliers that give the President a larger lead, but I think that is unlikely.

I get what you're saying, but those sunbelt states like Florida and North Carolina are very inelastic. There won't be major swings toward or against Romney because both parties have solid support in those states and both camps will GOTV. Obama may lose FL and NC but it won't be by a lot. The more elastic states are in the midwest and Obama is doing fine there.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2012, 03:33:43 pm »

It is becoming more and more likely that Romney will win the popular vote tommorrow, but the President will win the electoral vote.

It could happen but it actually seems a lot less likely to happen than it did a couple of weeks ago, imo.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: November 09, 2012, 03:07:28 am »

Probably off by 5 when all the uncounted votes are in.
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