Georgia's Very Own Megathread!

[IceSpear]

I wonder how a Broun/Gingrey run-off would turn out?

"Please, you weak kneed Demoncrat lover. I defended Todd Akin when nobody else would!"
"Don't give me that, socialist RINO! When's the last time you called evolution a lie from Satan?"

[IceSpear]

We also fear Palin and Cruz the most for president.

[IceSpear]

Not good news for Nunn. She needs a Broun or a Gingrey nomination.

[IceSpear]

New InsiderAdvantage Pub Senate primary poll: Perdue 26%, Handel/Kingston 17%, Gingrey 11%, Broun 10%.

Is Handel one of the ones that Democrats want to pull out a win to better Nunn's chances?

Gingrey and Broun are almost universally seen as the worst candidates, while Purdue is usually seen as the best. Opinions vary on Kingston and Handel.

[IceSpear]

Yeah, I'd imagine we're beginning to reach a saturation point with "Nathan Deal is a corrupt asshole" stories. How much more impact could it have?

[IceSpear]

Georgia has surpassed Mississippi to have the highest unemployment rate in the nation.
http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/09/19/georgia-has-the-highest-unemployment-rate-in-the-nation/


Edit:and now Deal in response is claiming a conspiracy against him.
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/09/georgia-nathan-deal-unemployment-data-111123.html

The Republican denial of facts when it doesn't suit their narrative is getting into self parody territory.

[IceSpear]

DSCC putting an additional $1 million into Georgia, with Democratic internals supposedly showing Nunn leading Perdue and close to 50%

Maybe I've been too negative on Nunn. But I still find this difficult to believe. Can we really turn out enough people to make that happen?

It's Politico. Take everything from them with a grain of salt. Wonderful news if true though.

[IceSpear]

Did Barrow not run this year because Nunn and Carter already made their interest known? It seems like it would've been a decent proposition since Georgia as a whole is more Democratic than his solid R district.

[IceSpear]

Georgians: Turnout dropped from 2010 to 2014. Simply put: how the christ

[IceSpear]

I bet that county where Carter only got 7% is just a wonderful place.

[IceSpear]

All the griping about Evan's formula for winning being outdated and such. What will people say when Abrams loses by close to double digits? Dems must breakthrough with whites in order to win there's no other way.

this primary result proves that the Evans campaign is FAR too incompetent to be allowed anywhere near a general election ballot. she couldn't even break 30% of the vote in lily-white suburbs/exurbs

Even in the south GA counties where the electorate was nothing but white DINOs (on account of competitive local elections that are still ancestrally decided in the democratic primary), Abrams still won -- with incredible margins, too!

How is Stacey Evans supposed to "breakthrough with whites" when she can't even win white voters in the Democratic primary?

BE COMPETITIVE AMONG WHITE VOTERS is what the statewide democratic candidates have tried to do in Georgia over and over again. It didn't work for Jim Barksdale, Michelle Nunn, Jason Carter, Carol Porter, or literally anyone else. Even the great John Barrow only won in 2012 thanks to his excellent campaign that simultaneously won over white voters (in a way no other GA politico can) AND used Obama's reelection campaign to boost black turnout to a level that part of the state had never before seen.

Don't you think it's time to try something else for a change?

Tbf, no strategy would've worked in 2014/2016.

[IceSpear]

I think Abrams talking about scrubbing Stone Mountain will hurt her more than gun control. I saw how Northam really retreaded from the confederate monuments issue during the campaign. She has many flaws, the debt she has being a glaring one, idk how voters will respond to a candidate running to manage the state budget being $200K in debt.

She literally said that once. Almost a year ago. You’re reaching.

And Nathan Deal was a million dollars in debt but OK. LOL.

Yeah but he earned that debt, unlike freeloader welfare queens like Stacey Abrams.

[IceSpear]

The Academy Award for Best Actor goes to.....

https://youtu.be/rtRYWCYVuxY

LOL at words coming out of his own mouth being "fake news"

What a dork.

I know most people aren't on Youtube to watch political ads, but Cagle's channel nevertheless stands out as particularly sad. 60 subscribers? Older videos with 8 views? 8 views?!

Enthusiasm for this guy is clearly sky high, lol.

[IceSpear]

I feel like an idiot for asking this, but I can't remember whether it's Cagle or Kemp who is seen as the un-electable idiot who'd actually give Abrams a good shot at winning.

Brian Kemp

https://youtu.be/4ABRz_epvic

https://youtu.be/5Q1cfjh6VfE

I don't see what's so bad about those ads. In fact, they seem pretty good to me. He's running in Georgia. Not NYC, DC, or the Atlas Forum mock election.

[IceSpear]

I feel like an idiot for asking this, but I can't remember whether it's Cagle or Kemp who is seen as the un-electable idiot who'd actually give Abrams a good shot at winning.

Brian Kemp

https://youtu.be/4ABRz_epvic

https://youtu.be/5Q1cfjh6VfE

I don't see what's so bad about those ads. In fact, they seem pretty good to me. He's running in Georgia. Not NYC, DC, or the Atlas Forum mock election.

A whole lot of Georgia doesn't fit the rural Southern stereotype anymore. 

Enough still does to win though, especially with the runoff handicap.

Anyway, I've always gotten a lot of crap for thinking Obama, Nunn, Carter, and Hillary weren't going to win in GA. So I'm staying put in "believe it when I see it" mode. With that said, it would not be particularly surprising to me if Abrams did better than all the aforementioned people.

[IceSpear]

Kemp seems like a better candidate than Cagle. Way more likable and presumably less corrupt.

[IceSpear]

Poor Stacy, he planned and worked so hard for this.

LOL, at first I was really confused by this post.

All these Stacys vying to be governor of Georgia, and it's very possible not a single one makes it. I guess Stacy didn't stand a chance against Chad Brian Kemp.

[IceSpear]

Kemp is winning 77% of the election day vote so far according to the GA SOS's website.

Lol Jesus. Cagle is going to get completely demolished.

But muh Trump endorsement doesn't matter!

[IceSpear]

Is it possible Cagle doesn't win a single county? His leads are in ones with few if any election day votes counted.

[IceSpear]

Another Stacy bites the dust bigly. Can Abrams reverse the curse?

[IceSpear]

It is mildly amusing the NYT has still not called it.

[IceSpear]

For most of the last two years Kemp was this close to being the political flame out - he was a very distant second or third in most of the primary polling before he did a horrifying caricature of the media's portrayal of southern people.

I knew Racist GA Hicks would love Kemp and those ads the second I saw them. The media (along with many liberals) was extremely out of touch by thinking they'd be "controversial" and hurt him, lol.

[IceSpear]

Judging from tonight, Cagle's "support" in the suburbs was about an inch deep.

[IceSpear]

Judging from tonight, Cagle's "support" in the suburbs was about an inch deep.

LOL yes. Between Stewart's support in NoVA and Kemp's support in ATL and other GA suburbs, I'm not sure why so many think the Cagle/Kemp debate was going to make a difference in the suburbs. Their minds are already made up one way or another.

Yeah, it seems like as more and more suburban former Republicans leave the GOP, what's left in those areas is just as extreme as their rural base. Stewart dominating in Fairfax County while getting crushed in Chesterfield County and Virginia Beach is a great example of that.

It wouldn't surprise me if Abrams won Gwinnett and Cobb. But that's not enough, as we saw with Hillary.

[IceSpear]

Wow. It's almost over and the margin has not shrunk at all. Cagle will barely end up cracking 30% despite getting 39% in the first round, LOL.

On top of that, the Lt. Governor guy who got 49% in the first round looks like he's going to narrowly lose. Crazy.