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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, Senator ON Progressive)
  Virginia
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PR
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« on: November 07, 2012, 09:35:14 pm »
« edited: November 07, 2012, 09:57:12 pm by Progressive Realist »

Obama won:

Cities:
Arlington County, 69-29
Alexandria, 71-27
Richmond, 78-21
Newport News, 64-34
Hampton, 72-27
Norfolk, 72-27
Suffolk,  57-42
Chesapeake, 50-49

Suburbs:
Henrico County, 55-44
Prince William County, 57-42
Loudoun County, 52-47
Fairfax County, 59-39

Looks like not just in the cities, but also in many of the growing suburban counties, Romney was, for the most part, crushed.

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bgwah
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2012, 09:41:23 pm »

Obama won DC 91-7, not Arlington. Wink
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PR
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2012, 09:53:08 pm »

Obama won DC 91-7, not Arlington. Wink

Derp.
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Beet
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2012, 10:15:30 pm »

Intrade always screws this up because the conservative counties report first. You had Politico TV saying that they had word that the Romney camp was worried about Virginia early in the night, meanwhile Obama's chances were trading at around 40, and stayed there for about an hour, occasionally dropping into the 30s, then gradually rising. A similar thing happened in 2008. With both cases you could tell the Republicans were in trouble when Henrico county reported, early in the night. But Intrade just can't get over the topline numbers.
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shua
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2012, 02:11:55 am »

Obama held steady or gained in Hampton, Newport News, Norfolk, Portsmouth, and Suffolk in Hampton Roads, and only slight swings against him in Williamsburg and Chesapeake. Turnout, especially of blacks, is what made this.  Lots of people stood in line here for 3 or 4 hours because the turnout was so much more than predicted, especially in poor or minority areas but to some extent all over.  The white suburban areas seem to have swung toward the GOP - though maybe not as much as I would have thought given the discussion about military spending.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2012, 07:41:51 pm »

Prince William and Chesterfield both swung to Obama and had more votes than 2008.  Fairfax and Henrico moved less than 1% right from 2008.  That has to be terrifying for local and statewide R's.  How long can the odd year elections and maps shield them from the inevitable? 
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