Wisconsin Megathread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kathleen Vinehout is a challenger that Dems will put up.  And WI tend to lean one way or the other at the end.  I do hope the Dems steal this race from Walker.

[MT Treasurer]

Oh, I think Tammy Baldwin will win. But the Supreme Court is a non-partisan spring election often done by itself. Its dynamics could be very isolated from the larger context.

Hopefully you're right, but my impression is that the fact that the election is "non-partisan" actually helps Democrats quite a bit. Also, it's an off-year special election, which means Democrats should do better than in a normal midterm. I'm just worried that this will turn out like all those PA Supreme Court elections, but we'll see.

Btw: Who do you think would be the strongest Republican challenger to Baldwin? Eric Hovde? I think the race can be won by the GOP, but a lot would have to go right for them to have a chance.

[Gass3268]

Lt. Gov Rebecca Kleefisch will not run for the Senate seat, will run again for Lt. Gov.

[krazen1211]

No redistricting for Wisconsin! Big Neil G to the rescue.

Link


The justices voted 5-4 to stay a requirement that the state file a new redistricting plan by Nov. 1. All four justices nominated by Democratic presidents dissented.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There's no real big House races and the Gov race is a foregone conclusion.  But, the one in PA with PA 06, 07 and 08 at stake will matter in control of the House.

[krazen1211]

There's no real big House races and the Gov race is a foregone conclusion.  But, the one in PA with PA 06, 07 and 08 at stake will matter in control of the House.

PA-17 is a district that Trump won by 10 points that will have to expand by something like 80k red voters.

[RogueBeaver]

Vinehout exploring.

[MT Treasurer]

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Full results: http://law.marquette.edu/poll/

[BudgieForce]

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Wisconsin deserves him.

[heatcharger]

Hopefully we'll be able to triage this stupid state in favor of Arizona soon enough.

[BudgieForce]

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Full results: http://law.marquette.edu/poll/

Most of that seems like MoE more than anything else.

[krazen1211]

Tammy Baldwin must be scared with only 38%!

Walker will win again by 5.

[MAINEiac4434]

Kind of old news, but this broke the day after the last post in this thread: Vinehout has formed an exploratory committee.

http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/kathleen-vinehout-registers-committee-to-run-for-governor/article_899852e5-d99a-5b81-b0b9-d2524df6199b.html

[Gass3268]

Tony Evers is in:

[GlobeSoc]

Tony Evers is in:

Vinehout exploring.

Could Vinehout enter a downballot race?

[KingSweden]

Evers is a good get. Still have this as Lean R though

[Gass3268]

Best thing about Evers is even if he loses he still gets to stay on as the State Superintendent and would have 3 years before he'd have to run again.

[Holmes]

He's probably the best Democrats are going to get, so that's good.

[MasterJedi]

He's probably the best Democrats are going to get, so that's good.

That's likely Vinehout.

[Dr. Arch]

Evers!!!!??? Oh yeah! I'm all in for him.

[Holmes]

He's probably the best Democrats are going to get, so that's good.

That's likely Vinehout.

I like them both, and since I'm not in Wisconsin I don't need to choose. Evers does have a track record of statewide landslides though, most recently his 40% romp a few months ago. Voters know him and have voted for him before. He's inoffensive and has a winnig coalition.

[Gass3268]

He's probably the best Democrats are going to get, so that's good.

That's likely Vinehout.

I like them both, and since I'm not in Wisconsin I don't need to choose. Evers does have a track record of statewide landslides though, most recently his 40% romp a few months ago. Voters know him and have voted for him before. He's inoffensive and has a winnig coalition.

It's landslides in nonpartisan races (no party label) that take place in the spring. A positive for Evers, but not a be all end all.

[Dr. Arch]

A new candidate has thrown his hat into the ring, Dana Wachs (D- Eau Claire).

https://www.danawachs.com

He has been making waves in my newsfeed and seems to have a solid image among those who know him. It seems like Wisconsin is drawing some good challengers.

[mcmikk]

I'm not about to go through this 38 page thread so I don't know for sure. Has anyone mentioned Andy Gronik yet?

https://andygronik.com/

He's a progressive businessman who wants to restore collective bargaining rights stripped away by Walker, wants to accept the ACA money Walker rejected, among other things. I don't think he has any particular aspect of him that sets him apart from other potential challengers, but what do you guys think of him? How would he fare in a primary/general election?

[Dr. Arch]

I'm not about to go through this 38 page thread so I don't know for sure. Has anyone mentioned Andy Gronik yet?

https://andygronik.com/

He's a progressive businessman who wants to restore collective bargaining rights stripped away by Walker, wants to accept the ACA money Walker rejected, among other things. I don't think he has any particular aspect of him that sets him apart from other potential challengers, but what do you guys think of him? How would he fare in a primary/general election?

Generic and running on unions as the main message may be a negative in Wisconsin at this point. Evers is definitely much better.