Wisconsin Megathread

[Holmes]

Governor Evers when

January 2019

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That's BIG, but it doesn't surprise me. Evers is a powerhouse in Wisconsin.

I wonder if Evers will try to convince Vinehout to run in the LG primary as sort of a unity non-Madison/Milwaukee-based ticket. I think they'd be well-balanced geographically.

That would be an interesting choice, and would absolutely neutralize Walker's talking points.

*snip* I wonder if Evers will have access to any of that sweet sweet Herb Kohl money.

I highly doubt it since Dan Kohl is running a pretty competitive congressional campaign against Grothman.  That's probably the priority for the Kohl family this cycle.

[Wiz in Wis]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That's BIG, but it doesn't surprise me. Evers is a powerhouse in Wisconsin.

I wonder if Evers will try to convince Vinehout to run in the LG primary as sort of a unity non-Madison/Milwaukee-based ticket. I think they'd be well-balanced geographically.

That would be an interesting choice, and would absolutely neutralize Walker's talking points.

*snip* I wonder if Evers will have access to any of that sweet sweet Herb Kohl money.

I highly doubt it since Dan Kohl is running a pretty competitive congressional campaign against Grothman.  That's probably the priority for the Kohl family this cycle.

You know Herb is personally worth several hundred million, right... I think he could drop a lot in two places.

[Wiz in Wis]

Evers has to be the favorite right now, if only because Wachs and Vinehout share a regional base, and Wachs just got endorsed by Dave Obey.

[mcmikk]

Evers has to be the favorite right now, if only because Wachs and Vinehout share a regional base, and Wachs just got endorsed by Dave Obey.

Evers really should probably point out to Vinehout that she probably has no chance in the primary and get her to run as his LG. She'd help him balance the ticket with a woman and she's from a key part of the state.

I agree, plus the WI GOP can't attack them very well for being "muh liberal Madison elitists" and Democrats don't want to have a super competitive primary. Imo Evers is my personal favorite and also the favorite to win the nomination. I think he would be a stronger GE candidate than Vinehout.

[mcmikk]

Evers has to be the favorite right now, if only because Wachs and Vinehout share a regional base, and Wachs just got endorsed by Dave Obey.

Wait, is the Obey endorsement supposed to be a negative or am I reading this wrong...?

[VPH]

I quite like Wachs, but Evers definitely looks to be the frontrunner.

[Dr. Arch]

Evers has to be the favorite right now, if only because Wachs and Vinehout share a regional base, and Wachs just got endorsed by Dave Obey.

Evers really should probably point out to Vinehout that she probably has no chance in the primary and get her to run as his LG. She'd help him balance the ticket with a woman and she's from a key part of the state.

I agree, plus the WI GOP can't attack them very well for being "muh liberal Madison elitists" and Democrats don't want to have a super competitive primary. Imo Evers is my personal favorite and also the favorite to win the nomination. I think he would be a stronger GE candidate than Vinehout.

My thoughts

[Gass3268]

Scott Walker 43%
Democratic Opponent 48%

Source

Evers is as close as you get to "Generic Democrat" or "Democratic Opponent."

[Gass3268]

Walkers Approval:

Approve 43%
Disapprove 49%

One of the more tricky numbers for Walker:

Do you think Scott Walker is too supportive of Donald Trump, not supportive enough of Trump, or supports Trump about the right amount?
44% Too supportive ................................................
13% Not supportive enough ....................................
35% About the right amount .................................... 
8% Not sure ..........................................................

[Gass3268]

Tossup. It's criminal negligence if Dems don't run ads of Trump bashing Walker in rural/suburbs

Claire McCaskill would do it

[Gustaf]

Governor Evers when

January 2019

The potential for Governor Whenevers is pretty good there.

[Free Bird]

Again measuring the drapes a year out. Governor Burke approves.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Again measuring the drapes a year out. Governor Burke approves.

IIRC, Burke was always considered the underdog. 

[Wiz in Wis]

At this point in 2013, PPP had Burke down 6 to Walker:

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/voters-split-on-walker-he-leads-head-to-heads/

[Figueira]

Let's avoid drape-measuring, but Evers vs. Walker sounds like a tossup to me.

[IceSpear]

Again measuring the drapes a year out. Governor Burke approves.

IIRC, Burke was always considered the underdog. 

Yeah, Gov. Crist would fit better. Or if you want to stick to WI, Gov. Barret.

[Don Vito Corleone]

Again measuring the drapes a year out. Governor Burke approves.

Excitement is not measuring drapes.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Excitement is not measuring drapes.

That sounds like a proverb.

[The Other Castro]

"Madison Mayor Paul Soglin says he will 'most likely' run for governor in 2018"

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://host.madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/madison-mayor-paul-soglin-says-he-will-most-likely-run/article_7bdfbd6b-242f-5e11-ba96-74bfb0686ead.html

[Dr. Arch]

"Madison Mayor Paul Soglin says he will 'most likely' run for governor in 2018"

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://host.madison.com/ct/news/local/govt-and-politics/madison-mayor-paul-soglin-says-he-will-most-likely-run/article_7bdfbd6b-242f-5e11-ba96-74bfb0686ead.html

Good lord, no, no, no.

[Dr. Arch]

What's the probability of him winning the primary if he enters?

Really low, or so I hope.

[Gass3268]

What's the probability of him winning the primary if he enters?

Really low, or so I hope.

He'd probably get Bernie's endorsement.

[Dr. Arch]

What's the probability of him winning the primary if he enters?

Really low, or so I hope.

He'd probably get Bernie's endorsement.

And I will gladly go against it. I really doubt Soglin has the chops to win the primary, much less the nomination. My main concern is how heavy a pull he has in Madison and how much of that he can replicate in the primary. He's been entrenched for a while.

[heatcharger]

Arch, why don't you like him? Is it because he's a bad mayor or is the whole Castro support too much to handle?