(Source: BBC The Wales Report)
Rhondda Assembly Election Results 1999 - 20111997 General Election:
Lab 74% Plaid 13% Lib Dem 6% Con 4% Referendum Party 2% Green 1%1999 Assembly Election:
Plaid 49% Lab 41% Lib Dem 5% Ind 3%
Con 3%2003 Assembly Election:
Lab 62% Plaid 27% Ind 4%
Lib Dem 3% UKIP 2% Con 2%2007 Assembly Election:
Lab 58% Plaid 30% Lib Dem 7% Con 5%2011 Assembly Election:
Lab 63% Plaid 30% Con 5% Lib Dem 2%In order to gain Rhondda, Plaid need a swing of 16.83%. I believe that this swing is too much for Plaid and as a result believe that the Liberal Democrats will be able to take advantage of this and plan a double attack. Firstly in Ceredigion where Elin Jones is the Assembly Member but only has a majority of 1,777 (6.11%) and secondly on the Mid and West Wales regional list where Simon Thomas is top of the Plaid list and only requires a 0.8% swing from Plaid to remove him from the Assembly (thus at a stroke removing the leader of Plaid from the Assembly and the two people most able to take over in the event of LeAnne resigning)
