Which GOP Senator(s) Will Lose to a Tea Party Challenger in 2014?

[Keystone Phil]

I still maintain that Saxby Chambliss is going down to Herman Cain.

I hope! When he was leaving Temple, a few friends and I were in a alley, waiting with his car and Mark Block/his cigarette. As Herman jumped into his vehicle, I yelled, "Run for Senate!" He didn't decline. 

Certainly nothing is impossible, but those that are clicking "Lamar Alexander" must not be very familiar with TN politics.

A pity. I'd love to see a Republican pick up there.

[Miles]

Roll Call has an article on GA.

In addition to Price, Broun has left the door open.

[RogueBeaver]

Roll Call has an article on GA.

In addition to Price, Broun has left the door open.

Ugh. Broun makes Akin look sane.

[Svensson]

Roll Call has an article on GA.

In addition to Price, Broun has left the door open.

Ugh. Broun makes Akin look sane.

I'm telling you, The Cain Train needs to flatten all of these upstarts.

[Miles]

Karen Handel is also considering a run.

[RogueBeaver]

Karen Handel is also considering a run.

Hopefully she does- I was quite disappointed when she lost to Deal in the primary.

[Ronnie]

Karen Handel is also considering a run.

I'm disappointed that she essentially apologized for her membership in the Log Cabin Republican group.  But she'd be much better than Saxby Shameless.

Just for reference:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hSRbSnrtOHo

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Nothing would please me more then Chickenhawk Chambliss losing reelection...

Same. I also want to see McConnell and Graham go down.

[Keystone Phil]

Chambliss is very publicly discussing possibly voting to raise taxes and how that means he's going to be targeted in the primary. I didn't think a high profile primary was a real option there but now it looks likely. Come on, Cain!

[GMantis]

Graham is very likely. Other possibilities are Cornyn and Chambliss. Susan Collins is exactly the Senator the Tea Party would love to challenge, but I don't think even they are that delusional.

[Frodo]

Chambliss is very publicly discussing possibly voting to raise taxes and how that means he's going to be targeted in the primary. I didn't think a high profile primary was a real option there but now it looks likely. Come on, Cain!

Has Grover Norquist ever considered running for Congress?

[Indy Texas]

Saxby Chambliss has committed the mortal sin of defying Grover Norquist. --> http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/84176.html?hp=l4

I still hate him for the nasty way he ran against Max Cleland, but as a legislator he is probably the sanest Republican officeholder in Georgia. Their whole House GOP delegation is awful and Nathan Deal is a Dixiecrat convert. The last really solid Republican they had was Paul Coverdell.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Saxby Chambliss has committed the mortal sin of defying Grover Norquist. --> http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1112/84176.html?hp=l4

I still hate him for the nasty way he ran against Max Cleland, but as a legislator he is probably the sanest Republican officeholder in Georgia. Their whole House GOP delegation is awful and Nathan Deal is a Dixiecrat convert. The last really solid Republican they had was Paul Coverdell.

Isakson is much better.  He seems a lot like Chambliss ideologically and isn't an evil man who got elected by trying to destroy the reputation on a genuine war hero.

[Mehmentum]

I don't know about uncumbent senators, but I could easily see tea party candidates ruining GOP chances in Arkansas, Loiusiana, North Carolina, etc.

[7,052,770]

If Cochran doesn't retire, I believe he will face a Tea Party challenge, but I give him a 2/3 chance of surviving it.

If Cochran retires, I imagine the Tea Party candidate will defeat whichever of the Three Stooges from the House runs for the seat.

[Horus]

Chambliss, Graham and Alexander. Collins will most likely retire.

[Vosem]

Chambliss and Graham are the only ones that could conceivably lose absent some sort of scandal. Plenty are at risk of some kind of challenge, though (Alexander, Cochran, McConnell, Cornyn, and Risch all could receive a hyped challenge, but none of them will work; I highly doubt that'll happen to any of the first three, though, and I doubt there would be any hype in Idaho. A TP challenge to Cornyn seems very possible but I'm very confident he'll survive. Idaho is the darkhorse possibility that no one notices, a la Alaska 2010).

[Indy Texas]

If Cochran doesn't retire, I believe he will face a Tea Party challenge, but I give him a 2/3 chance of surviving it.

If Cochran retires, I imagine the Tea Party candidate will defeat whichever of the Three Stooges from the House runs for the seat.

Thad Cochran is basically an understated version of Robert Byrd - he sends home plenty of "gifts" for his state, but he isn't narcissistic enough to put his name all over them like Byrd did. I think most Mississippi Republicans are aware that were it not for federal dollars being redistributed towards them, their state would be even more of a third world country than it is, even if they don't say it out loud.

[RogueBeaver]

Depends on who runs in GA/SC. If there are serious candidates like Tom Price in GA or Tom Davis in SC then that's one thing. Even then I'd put odds on the incumbents- Chambliss more than Graham, since Chambliss keeps a lower profile.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I suppose he's also less obviously gay.

[Meeker]

Chambliss is almost begging for a primary challenge at this point.

I highly doubt McConnell will have a serious primary opponent. Paul seems to have made friends with him.

[Donerail]

Chambliss is almost begging for a primary challenge at this point.

I highly doubt McConnell will have a serious primary opponent. Paul seems to have made friends with him.

I believe Mitch just hired as his campaign manager one of Rand's top aides from 2010 (who also served as a top aide to Ron this year). Rand described it as "very good", saying that "We're excited about it. I think Jesse will do a great job for him." Mitch said that "we've established a very good working relationship." It's not really a new development; Mitch's chief of staff Josh Holmes advised Rand's 2010 campaign, and there was that Frankfort unity rally back then too. That's why Mitch was featured in Ron's tribute video at the RNC, and why Rand was the featured guest at a McConnell fundraiser in March (followed by Mitch headlining a RAND PAC fundraiser later).

[TNF]

Graham is so gone it's not even funny.

McConnell will not be primaried. The Kentucky GOP is his machine. Without Mitch McConnell, it doesn't exist.

[stegosaurus]

Unfortunately, all of these candidates are a target. Tea Party candidacies spring up unannounced and without the help of name recognition. It can happen to any incumbent Republican, for completely unexplained accusations of lacking conservative credentials, and that is why it is dangerous to our electoral viability in the future. The Republican electorate is killing it's own party, almost enough to make one desire killing the primary/caucus hassle and picking our candidates in smoke filled rooms. It would certainly save a lot of resources.

[Miles]

Price and Handel seem to be coordinating their efforts.

If Price runs for Senate, Handel could run in the open CD6.