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  Realisticidealist's 2012 Precinct Map Thread
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Author Topic: Realisticidealist's 2012 Precinct Map Thread  (Read 53199 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #25 on: November 25, 2012, 09:18:25 pm »

Testing the theory of my last post

Pike County, Kentucky:

Is there one for Campbell County? (The only one I've seen shows which candidate won each precinct. It doesn't show by how much.)
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Alcon
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« Reply #26 on: November 25, 2012, 10:38:31 pm »


AWESOME job!
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Alcon
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« Reply #27 on: November 25, 2012, 10:51:55 pm »

Also, if it's not too much trouble, could you download a set of municipality/CDP labels (like from the Census or whatever) and add it to the map?  I'm not sure if that will make things too crowded, but it's fun for cross-referencing purposes on statewide maps.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #28 on: November 25, 2012, 11:06:20 pm »

Thank you for already creating the map I came here to ask for, and putting it in the OP. Wink

Washoe county would be great too, of it's not too much trouble.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #29 on: November 25, 2012, 11:27:05 pm »

Great stuff. I have a few requests:

Centre, PA

Here's my rather low-tech rendition of Centre County:

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Dr. RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #30 on: November 26, 2012, 12:51:20 am »

Full Hawaii precinct map:

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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #31 on: November 26, 2012, 02:18:45 am »

lol Romnyonly got 2 precincts in the entire state lol
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #32 on: November 26, 2012, 02:48:00 am »

How many did McCain get?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #33 on: November 26, 2012, 04:18:37 am »


Wikipedia is saying 3.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #34 on: November 26, 2012, 11:17:43 am »

Niihau swung to Obama from McCain. McCain had 87.5% there (only 40 votes though).
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #35 on: November 26, 2012, 11:23:44 am »

How about Lancaster County, Pennsylvania?
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« Reply #36 on: November 26, 2012, 03:03:01 pm »

Niihau swung to Obama from McCain. McCain had 87.5% there (only 40 votes though).
I was gonna say. Wow. What happened?

Is the one in the center the same one McCain got; I know he got one in Laie and one in that general area but forget where exactly.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #37 on: November 26, 2012, 05:11:37 pm »

Vote in Niihau:

Obama 29 (47.54%)
Romney 27 (44.26%)
Johnson 3 (4.92%)
Stein 2 (3.28%)

Vote total went from 40 in 2008 to 61 in 2012.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #38 on: November 26, 2012, 05:18:51 pm »

Great stuff. I have a few requests:

Centre, PA

Here's my rather low-tech rendition of Centre County:



What are those large red dots as those seem like rural areas that would vote GOP not Democrat.  I can see why Obama would easily win in State College that is kind of a given.  Also who won Boalsberg, PA.  The only reason I ask is one of accuweather's former chief forecasters who is a big Romney supporter and a strong critic of AGW lives there so it would be interesting to see how his town voted. 
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #39 on: November 26, 2012, 05:22:10 pm »

Niihau swung to Obama from McCain. McCain had 87.5% there (only 40 votes though).

Is the one in the center the same one McCain got; I know he got one in Laie and one in that general area but forget where exactly.

McCain won a precinct near Pearl Harbor. Romney did not win any in this area. It appears that the random other precinct Romney won had very few votes. It could just be a fluke.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #40 on: November 26, 2012, 05:39:01 pm »

What are those large red dots as those seem like rural areas that would vote GOP not Democrat.

The one smack-dab in the center is probably the small city of Bellefonte. Even small towns are usually to the left of surrounding unincorporated areas these days.
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АverroŽs 🦉
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« Reply #41 on: November 26, 2012, 06:37:44 pm »

What are those large red dots as those seem like rural areas that would vote GOP not Democrat.  I can see why Obama would easily win in State College that is kind of a given.  Also who won Boalsberg, PA.  The only reason I ask is one of accuweather's former chief forecasters who is a big Romney supporter and a strong critic of AGW lives there so it would be interesting to see how his town voted. 

The large Democratic-voting precinct to the north is Orviston, a tiny, isolated hamlet in the middle of the mountains. It's one of the few areas of the county that I haven't visited, but my guess is that it's very much oriented toward recreation and tourism. Very sparsely populated.

Moving counterclockwise, the next Obama precinct covers the area around Black Moshannon State Park. Again, very sparsely populated. I don't think there are any named places within this precinct.

The next tiny red precinct is in the borough of Phillipsburg (population ~3000). Considering its size and density, it's not surprising that at least one precinct is red; in fact, I'm more surprised that the rest of the borough voted for Romney. Phillipsburg isn't closely tied to State College; it's in a different valley, and it's a 40 minute drive from one to the other. Boalsburg and Bellefonte are very different from SC, but in these communities it's difficult to forget that you're in the same county as Penn State. Not so in Phillipsburg.

The cluster of small red precincts north of State College is Bellefonte. Bellefonte is the county seat, and, through most of Centre County's history, it was the county's largest settlement. This hasn't been so since shortly after WWII, with the expansion of the university and the decline of iron mining in central PA. Bellefonte is still the second largest borough in Centre County. (It's a pleasant community to visit, if you have the chance. Lots of late-nineteenth century architecture, a nice park, and a great coffee shop - a significant number of people commute to State College from Bellefonte.)

I'm pretty sure that Boalsburg is located in the large red precinct just south of State College. Boalsburg is another nice place to visit; it has the atmosphere of a well-preserved community that is neither rapidly expanding nor in decline. Housing is a bit cheaper here, and it's not far from the university, so it has a large commuter population. Very closely tied to State College.


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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #42 on: November 26, 2012, 08:19:59 pm »

Niihau appears to have cast zero votes in 1996, so this is the first D incumbent test case.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #43 on: November 27, 2012, 01:08:45 am »

What are those large red dots as those seem like rural areas that would vote GOP not Democrat.  I can see why Obama would easily win in State College that is kind of a given.  Also who won Boalsberg, PA.  The only reason I ask is one of accuweather's former chief forecasters who is a big Romney supporter and a strong critic of AGW lives there so it would be interesting to see how his town voted. 

The large Democratic-voting precinct to the north is Orviston, a tiny, isolated hamlet in the middle of the mountains. It's one of the few areas of the county that I haven't visited, but my guess is that it's very much oriented toward recreation and tourism. Very sparsely populated.

Moving counterclockwise, the next Obama precinct covers the area around Black Moshannon State Park. Again, very sparsely populated. I don't think there are any named places within this precinct.

The next tiny red precinct is in the borough of Phillipsburg (population ~3000). Considering its size and density, it's not surprising that at least one precinct is red; in fact, I'm more surprised that the rest of the borough voted for Romney. Phillipsburg isn't closely tied to State College; it's in a different valley, and it's a 40 minute drive from one to the other. Boalsburg and Bellefonte are very different from SC, but in these communities it's difficult to forget that you're in the same county as Penn State. Not so in Phillipsburg.

The cluster of small red precincts north of State College is Bellefonte. Bellefonte is the county seat, and, through most of Centre County's history, it was the county's largest settlement. This hasn't been so since shortly after WWII, with the expansion of the university and the decline of iron mining in central PA. Bellefonte is still the second largest borough in Centre County. (It's a pleasant community to visit, if you have the chance. Lots of late-nineteenth century architecture, a nice park, and a great coffee shop - a significant number of people commute to State College from Bellefonte.)

I'm pretty sure that Boalsburg is located in the large red precinct just south of State College. Boalsburg is another nice place to visit; it has the atmosphere of a well-preserved community that is neither rapidly expanding nor in decline. Housing is a bit cheaper here, and it's not far from the university, so it has a large commuter population. Very closely tied to State College.




So otherwise it looks like Obama won Boalsberg.  At first I thought you meant Romney as red I usually think of means Republican not Democrat, but then I realize this atlas does it backwards of what is generally used.
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Dynamite Shovel
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« Reply #44 on: November 27, 2012, 02:06:46 am »

That map makes Centre being so close pretty odd, not only did Obama get a landslide in State College he also won the second largest town there. Those unincorporated rural areas must have a lot more people in them than you'd expect for an unincorporated rural area.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #45 on: November 27, 2012, 02:16:55 am »

That map makes Centre being so close pretty odd, not only did Obama get a landslide in State College he also won the second largest town there. Those unincorporated rural areas must have a lot more people in them than you'd expect for an unincorporated rural area.

REALLY odd. Unless of course we remember that there's this little thing called voter suppression.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #46 on: November 27, 2012, 03:58:10 am »

Franklin County, WA?
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АverroŽs 🦉
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« Reply #47 on: November 27, 2012, 11:26:59 am »

That map makes Centre being so close pretty odd, not only did Obama get a landslide in State College he also won the second largest town there.

Obama won 3/5 precincts in Bellefonte, but his advantage over Romney was only about 50 votes out of around 5k cast in the borough.

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Obama won 11,000 votes in SC; Romney won 6,000. That's a wide margin, but not especially wide for a college town. Moreover, the borough of State College only contains about 1/4 of the county's voters, so it's not a large enough margin that votes in the rest of the county are overwhelmed.

Just over 14,000 additional voters live within easy commuting distance of State College, but considering these areas cushions Obama's lead by less than 100 additional votes, with both Obama and Romney receiving about 7,000 votes each here. Combined with the votes directly out of SC, this leaves Obama with about 58% of major party votes in and around the borough.

Most of Centre County's voters (about 38,000 of them) live outside of these areas, and Romney did very well throughout all of it, winning 75 out of 81 precincts, exceeding 55% in 73 of them and topping >60% in all but 15.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #48 on: November 27, 2012, 01:06:34 pm »

These are really impressive. What program do you use to make them?
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #49 on: November 27, 2012, 04:43:29 pm »

These are really impressive. What program do you use to make them?

ArcGIS for most of them.
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