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  Obama won rural Alaska
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Author Topic: Obama won rural Alaska  (Read 4214 times)
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jfern
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« on: November 20, 2012, 04:56:54 am »

He won the North Slope 66.5 to 29.25.

http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=493148
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #1 on: November 20, 2012, 06:48:49 am »

Asterisk: Native Alaskans.
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Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #2 on: November 20, 2012, 11:53:36 am »

Natives.
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Invisible Obama
DrScholl
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« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2012, 12:36:05 pm »

Huge swing, considering that he lost that area by about 11% in 2008.
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memphis
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« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2012, 01:30:47 pm »

He won the North Slope 66.5 to 29.25.

http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=493148
I would have thought the oil interests would be solidly GOP. Maybe they don't want the competition from Keystone XL?
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Jackson
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« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2012, 04:13:18 pm »

Given the greatly decreased turnout from 2008, I don't think people should think that this result is particularly indicative of anything.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2012, 04:29:45 pm »

With the vote count now apparently complete but not yet certified, Alaska has 30k fewer votes cast than 2008, with Obama's vote number essentially unchanged.

D40 can be used for comparisons easily because it was barely changed in redistricting, only losing Shishmaref. (Other rural districts were changed massively, by contrast - essentially one rural district was eliminated.)

2008: McCain 2686, Obama 2137, other 177
2012: Obama 2709, Romney 1337, other 167.

Hm-hmmm. (And yes, that's actually a greater turnout decline than statewide. It's just not all that there is to see here.)
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2012, 04:37:03 pm »

It really looks like a pro-gun Democrat could compete here in 2016 or 2020.  Will be interesting to see if anyone tries.  Then again, it's only 3 EV and a day's plane flight from the swing states.  Anyway, it at least looks like Begich has a better leg to stand on than Pryor or Landrieu in 2014.
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GM3PRP
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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2012, 04:54:30 pm »

Even after this?

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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #9 on: November 20, 2012, 06:21:18 pm »

That's pretty crazy, yeah.
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unempprof
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« Reply #10 on: November 20, 2012, 06:58:44 pm »

I was watching a documentary recently about how Native Alaskan communities are being affected by global warming.  I wonder if that played a role in how they voted.
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jfern
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« Reply #11 on: November 21, 2012, 02:45:03 am »

Was anyone expecting the land area of county equivalents won by Obama to increase? Because it probably did.
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minionofmidas - supplemental forum account
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #12 on: November 21, 2012, 05:05:45 pm »

lol Emmonak.

(Note: 91% Yupik village near the mouth of the Yukon. The per capita income for the city was $9,069 in 2000.
wikipedia: "In the winter of 2008-2009, a combination of a cold winter and increased fuel prices led to economic hardship. Due to a collapse in local king salmon fisheries in 2008[citation needed], residents were unable to generate enough economic capital to buy increased amounts of heating oil at higher prices. On January 10, 2009 Nicholas C. Tucker, Sr., a town elder, circulated a letter asking for aid. The letter was circulated by Alaska bloggers, where it was picked up by national media.[citation needed]")

2012 result: Obama 72%, Stein 24%, Romney 1.6% (3 votes), Johnson 1.6%, one write-in.
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unempprof
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« Reply #13 on: November 21, 2012, 07:04:14 pm »

lol Emmonak.

(Note: 91% Yupik village near the mouth of the Yukon. The per capita income for the city was $9,069 in 2000.
wikipedia: "In the winter of 2008-2009, a combination of a cold winter and increased fuel prices led to economic hardship. Due to a collapse in local king salmon fisheries in 2008[citation needed], residents were unable to generate enough economic capital to buy increased amounts of heating oil at higher prices. On January 10, 2009 Nicholas C. Tucker, Sr., a town elder, circulated a letter asking for aid. The letter was circulated by Alaska bloggers, where it was picked up by national media.[citation needed]")

2012 result: Obama 72%, Stein 24%, Romney 1.6% (3 votes), Johnson 1.6%, one write-in.

That doesn't surprise me.
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Badger
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« Reply #14 on: November 22, 2012, 02:10:40 pm »

lol Emmonak.

(Note: 91% Yupik village near the mouth of the Yukon. The per capita income for the city was $9,069 in 2000.
wikipedia: "In the winter of 2008-2009, a combination of a cold winter and increased fuel prices led to economic hardship. Due to a collapse in local king salmon fisheries in 2008[citation needed], residents were unable to generate enough economic capital to buy increased amounts of heating oil at higher prices. On January 10, 2009 Nicholas C. Tucker, Sr., a town elder, circulated a letter asking for aid. The letter was circulated by Alaska bloggers, where it was picked up by national media.[citation needed]")

2012 result: Obama 72%, Stein 24%, Romney 1.6% (3 votes), Johnson 1.6%, one write-in.

That doesn't surprise me.

Why not? It surprises me. I assumed most AK Greens were anchorage and Juneau white neo-hippies.
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unempprof
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« Reply #15 on: November 23, 2012, 12:33:11 am »

I mentioned why above.  The lifestyle of native Alaskans has been affected by global warming
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #16 on: November 25, 2012, 11:06:01 am »

It will be interesting to see how as Global Warming gets worse, how it affects mainland Natives and those reliant on the Tourist Industry. Maybe this will eventually swing a lot of rural, native and agrian interests Blue in the coming cycles....especially as Obama is "outsourcing" energy jobs from dirty energy in the Coal and Oil sectors to clean ones in Wind, Solar and Natural Gas. That's why places like ND, Wyoming and WV were even redder than usual and why NW Colo swung so hard to Romney. It was a last ditch effort to save the Dirty Industry Energy.
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