NJ-PPP: Christie trails Clinton 52-40, leads Biden 47-41 & Cuomo 50-35

[pbrower2a]

The Favorite Son effect applies. A nominee from his own state ordinarily does somewhere from 10% to 15%  than could otherwise be expected -- so long as people look favorably upon him. In 1976, Gerald Ford won Michigan but lost Ohio. South Dakota was the fourth-best state for George McGovern in 1972, and Minnesota was the only state that Walter Mondale won in 1984.  

I am not sure that Chris Christie has a real chance in Republican primaries in which the Tea Party has residual influence, though. After all he cut a deal with someone whom most Republicans consider thoroughly evil so that he could get storm aid when according to the Hard Right nobody should do anyone even for the good of his own state if it helps Obama win an election.